IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. - Class A Common Stock

NASDAQ · Financial Services · View on SEC EDGAR ↗
$84.22
Price · May 20, 2026
Fundamentals as of May 7, 2026
52W Range
$49–$88
89% of range
Analyst Rating
BUY
17 analysts
Price Target
$86
+2% upside
P/E (TTM)
29.0
ROE
—
Net Profit Margin
—

IBKR Stock Snapshot Price, market cap, P/E, EPS, ROE, debt/equity, 52-week range

Price
$84.22
Market Cap
—
P/E (TTM)
29.0
EPS (TTM)
$2.22
Revenue (TTM)
$2.44B
Div Yield
—
ROE
—
Debt/Equity
—
52W Range
$49 – $88

IBKR Stock Price Chart Daily OHLCV with technical indicators — pan, zoom, and customize your view

10-Year Performance Revenue, net income, margins and EPS trends

Revenue & Net Income $2.44B
9-point trend, +26.6%
2017-12-31 → 2025-12-31
EPS $2.22
9-point trend, +107.5%
2017-12-31 → 2025-12-31
Free Cash Flow —
Margins —

Valuation P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA ratios — is the stock expensive or cheap?

Metric
5Y trend
IBKR
Peer Median
P/E (TTM)
5-point trend, +372.7%
29.0
20.7

Profitability Gross, operating and net margins; ROE, ROA, ROIC

Metric
5Y trend
IBKR
Peer Median

Financial Health Debt, liquidity, solvency — balance sheet strength

Metric
5Y trend
IBKR
Peer Median

Growth Revenue, EPS and net income growth: YoY, 3Y CAGR, 5Y CAGR

Metric
5Y trend
IBKR
Peer Median
Revenue YoY
5-point trend, +55.6%
23.4%
—
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5-point trend, +55.6%
17.4%
—
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5-point trend, +55.6%
13.7%
—
EPS YoY
5-point trend, -31.5%
28.3%
—
Net Income YoY
5-point trend, +166.3%
27.9%
—

Per Share Metrics EPS, book value per share, cash flow per share, dividend per share

Metric
5Y trend
IBKR
Peer Median
EPS (Diluted)
5-point trend, -31.5%
$2.22
—

Capital Efficiency Asset turnover, inventory turnover, receivables turnover

Metric
5Y trend
IBKR
Peer Median

Dividends Yield, payout ratio, dividend history, 5Y CAGR

Dividend Yield
—
Payout Ratio
—
5Y Div CAGR
—
Ex-dateAmount
Feb. 27, 2026$0.0800
Dec. 1, 2025$0.0800
Aug. 29, 2025$0.0800
May 30, 2025$0.0800
Feb. 28, 2025$0.0625
Nov. 29, 2024$0.0625
Aug. 30, 2024$0.0625
May 31, 2024$0.0625
Feb. 29, 2024$0.0250
Nov. 30, 2023$0.0250
Aug. 31, 2023$0.0250
May 31, 2023$0.0250
Feb. 28, 2023$0.0250
Nov. 30, 2022$0.0250
Aug. 31, 2022$0.0250
May 31, 2022$0.0250
Feb. 28, 2022$0.0250
Nov. 30, 2021$0.0250
Aug. 31, 2021$0.0250
May 28, 2021$0.0250

IBKR Analyst Consensus Bullish and bearish analyst opinions, 12-month price target, upside

BUY 17 analysts
  • Strong Buy 5 29.4%
  • Buy 10 58.8%
  • Hold 2 11.8%
  • Sell 0 0.0%
  • Strong Sell 0 0.0%

12-Month Price Target

10 analysts · 2026-05-16
Median target $89.00 +5.7%
Mean target $86.00 +2.1%

Earnings History EPS actual vs estimate, surprise %, beat rate, next earnings date

Avg Surprise
0.01%
Period EPS Actual EPS Est Surprise
March 31, 2026 $0.60 $0.61 -0.01%
Dec. 31, 2025 $0.65 $0.60 0.05%
Sept. 30, 2025 $0.57 $0.55 0.02%
June 30, 2025 $0.51 $0.47 0.04%
March 31, 2025 $0.47 $0.49 -0.02%

Peer Comparison Key metrics vs sector peers

Ticker Market Cap P/E Rev YoY Net Margin ROE Gross Margin
IBKR — 29.0 23.4% — — —
MS $281.00B 17.4 14.4% 23.9% 15.6% —
GS $260.60B 17.1 8.9% 29.5% 13.9% —
SCHW $207.21B 21.5 22.0% 37.0% 17.9% —
HOOD $101.94B 55.2 51.6% 42.1% 21.9% —
RJF $34.20B 16.8 6.6% 13.4% 17.7% —
LPLA — 32.7 37.2% 5.1% 16.6% —
EVR — 24.2 29.5% 15.3% 31.7% —
SF — 14.2 6.7% 10.8% 11.7% —
JEF — 20.3 2.9% 6.3% 6.6% —
HLI — 27.7 24.8% 16.7% 18.8% 32.3%

Full Fundamentals All metrics by year — income statement, balance sheet, cash flow

Income Statement 12
Annual Income Statement data for IBKR
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Revenue 12-point trend, +118.8% $2.44B $1.98B $1.56B $1.51B $1.57B $1.29B $847M $925M $1.93B $1.48B $1.26B $1.11B
SG&A Expense 4-point trend, +49.7% $247M $314M $211M $165M · · · · · · · ·
Interest Expense 6-point trend, +642.1% · · $3.44B $1.02B $224M $261M $643M $463M · · · ·
Interest Income 12-point trend, +1770.7% $7.78B $7.34B $6.23B $2.69B $1.37B $1.13B $1.73B $1.39B $908M $606M $492M $416M
Pretax Income 12-point trend, +842.9% $4.77B $3.69B $3.07B $2.00B $1.79B $1.26B $1.16B $1.20B $1.05B $761M $458M $506M
Income Tax 12-point trend, +780.9% $414M $288M $257M $156M $151M $77M $68M $71M $256M $62M $43M $47M
Net Income 12-point trend, +849.2% $4.36B $3.41B $2.81B $1.84B $1.64B $1.18B $1.09B $1.12B $793M $699M $415M $459M
EPS (Basic) 12-point trend, +182.3% $2.23 $1.75 $1.43 $3.78 $3.27 $2.44 $2.11 $2.30 $1.09 $1.28 $0.80 $0.79
EPS (Diluted) 12-point trend, +188.3% $2.22 $1.73 $1.42 $3.75 $3.24 $2.42 $2.10 $2.28 $1.07 $1.25 $0.78 $0.77
Shares (Basic) 12-point trend, +680.5% 440,931,909 432,448,796 419,860,200 100,460,016 94,167,572 79,939,289 76,121,570 73,438,209 69,926,933 66,013,247 61,043,071 56,492,381
Shares (Diluted) 12-point trend, +669.1% 443,859,546 436,011,752 423,387,508 101,299,609 95,009,880 80,638,908 76,825,863 74,266,370 70,904,921 67,299,413 62,509,796 57,709,668
EBITDA 10-point trend, +230.3% · · $65M $58M $50M $42M $31M $26M $25M $25M $22M $20M
Balance Sheet 16
Annual Balance Sheet data for IBKR
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Cash & Equivalents 12-point trend, +291.1% $4.96B $3.63B $3.75B $3.44B $2.40B $4.29B $2.88B $2.60B $1.73B $1.93B $1.60B $1.27B
PP&E (Net) 12-point trend, +87.5% $60M $59M $81M $93M $85M $67M $62M $20M $14M $13M $10M $32M
PP&E (Gross) 12-point trend, +68.5% $123M $110M $161M $151M $125M $97M $75M $33M $26M $22M $27M $73M
Accum. Depreciation 12-point trend, +53.7% $63M $51M $80M $58M $40M $30M $13M $13M $12M $9M $17M $41M
Intangibles 11-point trend, +73.3% $52M $48M $43M $48M $46M $37M $34M $33M $29M $28M $30M ·
Total Assets 12-point trend, +368.5% $203.24B $150.14B $128.25B $115.14B $109.11B $95.68B $71.68B $60.55B $61.16B $54.67B $48.73B $43.38B
Short-term Debt 5-point trend, -52.9% · · · · · · $16M $17M $15M $74M · $34M
Total Liabilities 12-point trend, +378.5% $182.77B $133.54B $114.18B $103.53B $98.89B $86.68B $63.74B $53.39B $54.73B $48.85B $43.39B $38.20B
Total Debt 5-point trend, -52.7% · · · · · · $16M $17M $15M $74M · $34M
Paid-in Capital 12-point trend, +208.2% $1.96B $1.82B $1.73B $1.58B $1.44B $1.24B $934M $898M $832M $775M $718M $635M
Retained Earnings 12-point trend, +2681.0% $3.37B $2.52B $1.85B $1.29B $953M $683M $520M $390M $251M $203M $145M $121M
Treasury Stock 12-point trend, +433.3% $16M $7M $3M $6M $5M $3M $3M $3M $3M $3M $3M $3M
AOCI 11-point trend, +366.7% $56M $-45M $8M $-22M $4M $26M · $-4M $9M $-2M $2M $12M
Stockholders' Equity 12-point trend, +600.1% $5.36B $4.28B $3.58B $2.85B $2.40B $1.95B $1.45B $1.28B $1.09B $974M $863M $766M
Liabilities + Equity 12-point trend, +368.5% $203.24B $150.14B $128.25B $115.14B $109.11B $95.68B $71.68B $60.55B $61.16B $54.67B $48.73B $43.38B
Shares Outstanding 2-point trend, +9.4% · · · · · · · · · · 63,985,335 58,473,186
Cash Flow 11
Annual Cash Flow data for IBKR
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
D&A 12-point trend, +205.0% $61M $67M $65M $58M $50M $42M $31M $26M $25M $25M $22M $20M
Stock-based Comp 12-point trend, +187.8% $118M $112M $100M $92M $80M $65M $60M $58M $53M $51M $50M $41M
Deferred Tax 12-point trend, +127.8% $41M $-2M $30M $20M $23M $9M $24M $21M $147M $27M $15M $18M
Amort. of Intangibles 5-point trend, +50.0% · · · · · $3M $10M $16M $16M $2M · ·
Other Non-cash 10-point trend, +422.9% · · $1.54B $1.96B $4.11B $6.77B $1.46B $1.13B $-876M $-258M $223M $294M
Operating Cash Flow 12-point trend, +3691.6% $15.81B $8.72B $4.54B $3.97B $5.90B $8.07B $2.67B $2.36B $1.06B $635M $725M $417M
Investing Cash Flow 11-point trend, -415.9% $-171M $-44M $-52M $-67M $-188M $-50M $-89M $-57M $-26M $-6M · $54M
Dividends Paid 12-point trend, +482.6% $134M $92M $42M $40M $38M $32M $31M $29M $28M $26M $25M $23M
Financing Cash Flow 11-point trend, -214.6% $-969M $-833M $-624M $-470M $-523M $-229M $-419M $-399M $-374M $-189M · $-308M
Net Change in Cash 12-point trend, +26796.4% $15.06B $7.64B $3.99B $3.32B $5.09B $7.91B $2.18B $1.82B $730M $415M $332M $56M
Taxes Paid 12-point trend, +754.1% $316M $279M $228M $148M $114M $64M $51M $50M $47M $29M $31M $37M
Profitability 5
Annual Profitability data for IBKR
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Net Margin 10-point trend, +4426.3% · · 180.6% 122.3% 104.3% 91.6% 42.2% 47.5% 41.1% 47.4% 33.0% 4.0%
Pretax Margin 8-point trend, +282.1% · · 197.1% 132.7% 114.0% 97.6% 44.8% 50.5% 54.4% 51.6% · ·
EBITDA Margin 10-point trend, +136.9% · · 4.2% 3.9% 3.2% 3.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8%
ROA 10-point trend, +2000.0% · · 2.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 0.90% 0.11%
ROE 10-point trend, +1362.2% · · 87.4% 70.3% 75.3% 69.3% 79.7% 94.9% 76.0% 76.1% 50.9% 6.0%
Liquidity & Solvency 1
Annual Liquidity & Solvency data for IBKR
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Debt / Equity 5-point trend, -75.1% · · · · · · 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 · 0.0
Efficiency 1
Annual Efficiency data for IBKR
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Asset Turnover 10-point trend, -52.8% · · 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Per Share 6
Annual Per Share data for IBKR
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Book Value / Share 2-point trend, +2.9% · · · · · · · · · · $13.49 $13.11
Revenue / Share 10-point trend, -23.9% · · $14.71 $14.87 $16.50 $15.96 $33.58 $31.86 $27.18 $21.92 $20.09 $19.33
Cash Flow / Share 10-point trend, +494.2% · · $42.93 $39.17 $62.06 $100.05 $34.70 $31.72 $2.00 $8.08 $11.60 $7.23
Cash / Share 2-point trend, +15.3% · · · · · · · · · · $25.02 $21.71
Dividend Paid / Share 10-point trend, -75.0% · · $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
EPS (TTM) 12-point trend, +188.3% $2.22 $1.73 $1.42 $3.75 $3.24 $2.42 $2.10 $2.28 $1.07 $1.25 $0.78 $0.77
Growth Rates 10
Annual Growth Rates data for IBKR
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Revenue YoY 5-point trend, +7.3% 23.4% 27.0% 3.4% -4.0% 21.8% · · · · · · ·
Revenue CAGR 3Y 3-point trend, +166.4% 17.4% 8.0% 6.6% · · · · · · · · ·
Revenue CAGR 5Y 13.7% · · · · · · · · · · ·
EPS YoY 5-point trend, -16.4% 28.3% 21.8% -62.1% 15.7% 33.9% · · · · · · ·
EPS CAGR 3Y 3-point trend, +1.5% -16.0% -18.9% -16.3% · · · · · · · · ·
EPS CAGR 5Y -1.7% · · · · · · · · · · ·
Net Income YoY 5-point trend, -28.1% 27.9% 21.2% 52.7% 12.6% 38.8% · · · · · · ·
Net Income CAGR 3Y 3-point trend, -1.1% 33.2% 27.7% 33.6% · · · · · · · · ·
Net Income CAGR 5Y 29.9% · · · · · · · · · · ·
Dividend CAGR 5Y 33.2% · · · · · · · · · · ·
Valuation (TTM) 14
Annual Valuation (TTM) data for IBKR
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Revenue TTM 12-point trend, +118.8% $2.44B $1.98B $1.56B $1.51B $1.57B $1.29B $847M $925M $1.93B $1.48B $1.26B $1.11B
Net Income TTM 12-point trend, +849.2% $4.36B $3.41B $2.81B $1.84B $1.64B $1.18B $1.09B $1.12B $793M $699M $415M $459M
Market Cap 2-point trend, +63.6% · · · · · · · · · · $697M $426M
Enterprise Value · · · · · · · · · · · $-809M
P/E 12-point trend, +206.0% 29.0 25.5 14.6 4.8 6.1 6.3 5.5 6.0 13.8 7.3 14.0 9.5
P/S 2-point trend, +45.3% · · · · · · · · · · 0.6 0.4
P/B 2-point trend, +45.3% · · · · · · · · · · 0.8 0.6
P / Cash Flow 2-point trend, -5.9% · · · · · · · · · · 1.0 1.0
EV / EBITDA · · · · · · · · · · · -41.1
EV / Revenue · · · · · · · · · · · -0.7
Dividend Yield 2-point trend, -33.7% · · · · · · · · · · 3.6% 5.4%
Earnings Yield 12-point trend, -67.3% 3.5% 3.9% 6.9% 20.7% 16.3% 15.9% 18.0% 16.7% 7.2% 13.7% 7.2% 10.6%
Payout Ratio 10-point trend, -97.1% · · 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.6% 3.5% 3.7% 6.0% 51.0%
Annual Payout 12-point trend, +482.6% $134M $92M $42M $40M $38M $32M $31M $29M $28M $26M $25M $23M

Financial Statements Income statement, balance sheet, cash flow — annual, last 5 years

Income Statement
2025-12-312024-12-312023-12-312022-12-312021-12-31
Revenue $2.44B$1.98B$1.56B$1.51B$1.57B
Net Income $4.36B$3.41B$2.81B$1.84B$1.64B
Diluted EPS $2.22$1.73$1.42$3.75$3.24

IBKR AI Analyst Panel — Bullish and Bearish Views 2026Q2 debate: Claude, Grok, Gemini, ChatGPT on the stock's prospects

Round 1 — Opening Takes

Grok NEUTRAL 0.75
↑ Bullish

I see Interactive Brokers winning the brokerage wars with its low-cost tech platform, pulling in retail and crypto traders as volumes surge into 2026. Its ROE sits at 19.6%, above the peer median, which means IBKR squeezes more profit from each dollar of equity than big banks like MS or GS. Net margin climbed to 9.06%, signaling better cost control and pricing power amid rising trades. The stock rocketed from $39 to $58 in recent months, my read is momentum confirms client growth.

↓ Bearish

IBKR's lofty valuation leaves no room for error if trading volumes stall in a 2026 slowdown. P/E TTM at 118.9 towers over peers like SCHW at 18, so any earnings miss crushes the multiple fast. Debt-to-equity ballooned to 547%, exposing the balance sheet to interest rate spikes or market shocks. Current ratio of 0.97 dips below 1, hinting at potential cash crunches for client payouts.

Claude NEUTRAL 0.62
↑ Bullish

Interactive Brokers has built a durable, high-margin franchise that is finally translating into earnings growth. Net margin expanded to 9.06% from 8.57% last quarter, and EPS rose to $2.08 from $1.91 — real profit acceleration, not just multiple expansion. The 54.41% gross margin tells you pricing power is intact even as competition intensifies. At a $109 billion market cap, the stock has room to re-rate if the market recognizes that automated execution at scale is a defensible moat. Crypto adoption tailwinds (per March news) add optionality.

↓ Bearish

This valuation is a house of cards built on leverage. The P/E of 119 is nearly 7 times Morgan Stanley's and 6.5 times Charles Schwab's — you're paying for perfection in a business that is not perfect. Debt-to-equity exploded to 547, up from 440 last quarter, which means IBKR is borrowing aggressively to juice returns. That 19.6% ROE looks impressive until you realize it's amplified by financial engineering, not operational excellence. A current ratio of 0.97 leaves almost no liquidity cushion. One market shock or regulatory headwind and this leverage becomes a liability, not a feature.

Gemini NEUTRAL 0.85
↑ Bullish

Interactive Brokers is effectively scaling its platform to capture a larger share of the sophisticated trader market, driving consistent profitability. The company is delivering a 19.6% return on equity. This metric shows that management is highly efficient at generating profit from the capital shareholders have invested in the business. Furthermore, the firm has seen its net profit margin climb to 9.06%. This improvement indicates that despite competitive pressures, the company is successfully managing its operating expenses relative to its total revenue, allowing more of every dollar earned to drop straight to the bottom line.

↓ Bearish

The current valuation of Interactive Brokers is detached from reality and leaves absolutely no room for error. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 118.9. This multiple suggests that investors are paying a massive premium for every dollar of current profit, assuming growth rates that may be impossible to sustain. Additionally, the company’s debt-to-equity ratio has ballooned to 547.1. This level of leverage is alarming for a brokerage firm, as it indicates a heavy reliance on borrowed funds that could create significant liquidity risks if market conditions turn volatile or interest rates shift unexpectedly.

Chatgpt NEUTRAL 0.62
↑ Bullish

I think IBKR still offers a durable growth story, driven by its scalable brokerage platform and pricing power. P/E TTM: 118.949. That premium signals investors expect sustained earnings growth and strong pricing leverage for IBKR. ROE TTM: 19.6%. A 19.6% ROE shows productive use of equity and above-peer profitability, supporting a premium multiple. Debt/Equity: 547.1. That leverage funds growth and buybacks, helping returns, but raises risk if rates rise or earnings soften. News sentiment over the past month has been cautiously optimistic, with chatter about crypto-asset volumes benefiting the platform.

↓ Bearish

I think the bear case is that the stock's premium is fragile and balance-sheet risk is elevated. P/E TTM: 118.949. The multiple is far richer than peers, making IBKR particularly vulnerable if growth slows. Debt/Equity: 547.1. High leverage amplifies sensitivity to interest rates and refinancing risk. Current ratio: 0.9707. Liquidity is tight, leaving less cushion to weather revenue dips. News sentiment over the last month has been mixed, with some skepticism about IBKR's ability to sustain high growth without further capital raises.

Round 2 — Responses & Rebuttals

Grok

ChatGPT, you're too quick to call news sentiment mixed when it's leaning bullish on client growth tailwinds. The March 25 piece noted a nearly 4% stock pop from IBKR's cheaper crypto trading solutions versus rivals, directly fueling trading volumes that pad margins. That isn't skepticism — it's evidence of competitive edge widening, supporting my hold over a cautious stance.

Claude

I need to push back on Gemini here — you're reading that debt-to-equity ratio as a pure liability, but you're missing what it actually means for a brokerage. A D/E of 547 sounds catastrophic until you remember that brokerages are inherently leveraged businesses; they borrow client cash and securities as part of normal operations. That's not financial engineering the way it would be for a manufacturer. What matters is whether IBKR can service that debt from operating cash flow, not whether the ratio looks scary on a spreadsheet. The real risk isn't the leverage itself — it's the current ratio of 0.97, which does signal tight liquidity. But Gemini, you conflated two separate problems into one doomsday narrative, and that's sloppy.

Gemini

Claude, your point about the leverage being a house of cards is the most critical risk here, but I think you understate the danger of the current ratio. At 0.97, the company has less than a dollar of liquid assets for every dollar of short-term liabilities. This means that if market volatility spikes and clients demand liquidity simultaneously, IBKR has essentially zero margin for error to meet those obligations. Relying on such thin liquidity while carrying a 547.1 debt-to-equity ratio is a recipe for a forced deleveraging event that would be catastrophic for shareholders.

Chatgpt

Claude, your point about leverage is valid as a risk, but IBKR's debt isn't reckless—it's a deliberate tool to scale a high-margin platform and capture higher market share in a crowded broker space. Debt/Equity stands at 547.1. That level of leverage can magnify ROE and growth, but it also increases refinancing risk if rates rise. In a slower 2026, that balance could be stressed as funding costs move.

Round 3 — Final Rebuttals

G
Grok

Gemini, I'm siding with Claude in your debate over the balance sheet risks. Debt/Equity at 547 looks wild but is standard for brokerages, where borrowed client funds fuel daily operations and boost that 19.6% ROE without undue danger. The current ratio of 0.97 is tighter than ideal, signaling slim coverage for short-term outflows if volatility surges. Still, with EPS up to $2.08 and steady gross margins, IBKR's cash flow should handle it — no deleveraging panic needed.

C
Claude

I want to push back on Grok's read of the news sentiment here. Grok, you're cherry-picking one bullish data point — the March 25 crypto announcement — and treating it as proof of widening competitive edge. But that's not how brokerages win market share. A cheaper crypto solution is table stakes, not a moat. What I'm not hearing from anyone is customer concentration risk. Interactive Brokers doesn't break out what percentage of trading volume or revenue comes from retail versus institutional, or whether a handful of large hedge funds or prop shops drive disproportionate flow. If 40% of commissions come from five clients and one of them migrates to Citadel Connect or a new rival platform, earnings crater fast. That's the real tail risk nobody's named yet — not the leverage, not the valuation. Until we know IBKR's customer concentration, the bull case is incomplete.

G
Gemini

Claude, I have to challenge your dismissal of the debt-to-equity ratio as mere 'brokerage operations.' While you are right that brokerages carry unique balance sheets, IBKR's debt-to-equity of 547.1 is an outlier that suggests aggressive capital structure management rather than just client-cash intermediation. This ratio represents the total debt relative to shareholder equity, meaning the company is heavily reliant on external financing to fund its operations. When you combine that with a current ratio of 0.97, which shows the firm has less than a dollar of liquid assets for every dollar of near-term obligations, the risk of a liquidity squeeze is undeniable.

C
Chatgpt

I think, Claude, your leverage concern is a real risk, but the bigger mover here will be regulation and macro flows in 2026. Claude, your point about D/E is sharp, but it's the policy backdrop that could derail any premium. One metric to watch: P/E TTM 118.95. That high multiple flags growth expectations baked into IBKR, and a material regulatory shift or crypto-volume slowdown could compress it quickly. Beyond numbers, watch US broker-dealer capital rules, crypto custody oversight, and rate and dollar moves that drive client activity and liquidity. Grok, Gemini, your take on momentum remains relevant here.

Price Forecasts

Model 3M Target 6M Target Reasoning
G Grok 3M Target $62.00 6M Target $68.00 Reasoning I think IBKR trades sideways-to-up on durable trading volumes and crypto tailwinds, but its nosebleed valuation caps explosive gains through 2026Q2. The key catalyst is the Q2 2026 earnings release in mid-July, where sustained EPS above $2.10 would validate client growth and justify a re-rating. The big risk is a Fed rate cut cycle sparking volatility that stresses the 0.97 current ratio, forcing liquidity measures. At a forward P/E contracting to 100 from 119, that implies the market dials back perfection pricing but still rewards the 19.6% ROE edge over peers like SCHW.
C Claude 3M Target $48.50 6M Target $52.00 Reasoning IBKR's earnings are genuinely accelerating — EPS up to $2.08, net margin climbing — but the 119 P/E is unsustainable if growth normalizes. My thesis: the stock re-rates lower as the market prices in a more realistic 25–30 P/E once 2026 volumes stabilize. Catalyst: Q2 earnings print in late July will show whether crypto tailwinds and retail flow hold or fade; a miss triggers multiple compression fast. Risk: a crypto rally or Fed pivot reignites risk appetite, extending the multiple premium. The current 0.97 liquidity ratio is the real constraint — not leverage itself, but tight cash coverage if client redemptions spike. I'm holding my hold but forecasting modest downside as froth clears.
G Gemini 3M Target $38.50 6M Target $35.00 Reasoning My thesis is that the market will eventually penalize IBKR for its unsustainable valuation and precarious liquidity profile as volatility normalizes. A concrete catalyst for the downside is the 2026Q2 earnings report; if trading volumes miss expectations, the market will likely reset the stock's massive premium. The primary risk is a sudden regulatory tightening on crypto-custody, which would evaporate the current growth narrative. The current P/E of 118.9 is the most dangerous metric here, as it implies investors are paying for decades of growth that the underlying business, with its 0.97 current ratio, is not structurally built to guarantee during a market downturn.
C Chatgpt 3M Target $45.00 6M Target $46.50 Reasoning IBKR can drift modestly higher on resilient client activity, but the stock sits at a premium that leaves little room for error. The upcoming 2026Q2 earnings print, expected this quarter, showing continued volume growth and stable margins would validate the growth thesis and push the price toward my six-month target. A sharper slowdown in trading volumes or an aggressive regulatory clamp could trigger multiple compression and break the thesis. P/E is around 118.95, which means investors are paying for years of growth today; any miss or growth deceleration would re-rate the stock.

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