Signal Performance

Track record and analytics · Updated Oct 12, 2026

Average Return per Signal

+0.81%

across 1088 signals since Nov 2025

Profitable Signals

32.2%

closed in profit

Total Signal Result

+880.38%

sum · not a portfolio return

Track Record

11mo

1088 closed signals

Current Streak

consecutive losses

Average return per signal by period

30d

-3.55%

94 signals

90d

-1.43%

404 signals

ytd

+0.95%

1013 signals

all

+0.81%

1088 signals

Methodology: each signal's result is its individual percentage return on a fixed, equal position size. "Average Return per Signal" is the mean of these results; "Total Signal Result" is their sum in percentage points, with no compounding — it is not a portfolio return. Period figures show the average return per signal closed in that window.

Payoff Advantage

Why the system is profitable: winners are significantly larger than losers

Payoff Ratio 2.69x

Average Win +11.68%

Average Loss -4.35%

Avg Hold: 20.3d Wins: 38.0d Losses: 11.8d

Cumulative Signal Result

percentage points · fixed size, no compounding

Monthly Breakdown

Month	Trades	Wins	Profitable	Avg P/L	Total P/L
Nov 2025	36	10	27.8%	-3.6%	-129.7%
Dec 2025	39	19	48.7%	+1.24%	+48.52%
Jan 2026	59	22	37.3%	+2.48%	+146.15%
Feb 2026	51	23	45.1%	+3.87%	+197.43%
Mar 2026	165	114	69.1%	+5.34%	+880.81%
Apr 2026	112	29	25.9%	+0.85%	+95.14%
May 2026	56	16	28.6%	-0.44%	-24.43%
Jun 2026	60	25	41.7%	+3.49%	+209.55%
Jul 2026	106	26	24.5%	+0.34%	+36.42%
Aug 2026	191	52	27.2%	-0.3%	-57.12%
Sep 2026	119	13	10.9%	-1.59%	-189.05%
Oct 2026	94	1	1.1%	-3.55%	-333.34%

Best Trades

CRDO RANGE +89.95% ALAB RANGE +72.59% LITE Bounce Up +49.35% RMBS RANGE +48.47% AAOI Bounce Up +44.39%

Worst Trades

MNST BLUECHIP_DIP -50.70% LGCL Bounce Up -33.16% WETH Bounce Up -30.04% CDTG Bounce Up -22.73% SHOP Bounce Up -20.96%

AI Model Accuracy

Overall: 50.3% Beats base rate

Grok

53.6%

1095 predictions · 480 correct · 199 pending

Claude

66.9%

1092 predictions · 598 correct · 198 pending

Gemini

49.5%

1073 predictions · 439 correct · 187 pending

ChatGPT

27.7%

942 predictions · 206 correct · 198 pending

DeepSeek

30.0%

21 predictions · 3 correct · 11 pending

Disclaimer

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All metrics are calculated from actual closed trades since Nov 2025.