NEM Newmont Corporation

NYSE · Metals & Mining · View on SEC EDGAR ↗
$105.09
Price · May 20, 2026
Fundamentals as of Apr 23, 2026

NEM Stock Snapshot Price, market cap, P/E, EPS, ROE, debt/equity, 52-week range

Price
$105.09
Market Cap
$108.74B
P/E (TTM)
15.6
EPS (TTM)
$6.39
Revenue (TTM)
$22.67B
Div Yield
1.0%
ROE
22.2%
Debt/Equity
0.2
52W Range
$52 – $135

NEM Stock Price Chart Daily OHLCV with technical indicators — pan, zoom, and customize your view

10-Year Performance Revenue, net income, margins and EPS trends

Revenue & Net Income $22.67B
6-point trend, +97.2%
2020-12-31 2025-12-31
EPS $6.39
6-point trend, +82.1%
2020-12-31 2025-12-31
Free Cash Flow $7.30B
5-point trend, +103.9%
2020-12-31 2025-12-31
Margins 31.2%

Valuation P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA ratios — is the stock expensive or cheap?

Metric
5Y trend
NEM
Peer Median
P/E (TTM)
5-point trend, -63.2%
15.6
20.2
P/S (TTM)
5-point trend, +15.1%
4.8
8.7
P/B
5-point trend, +54.2%
3.2
3.5
EV / EBITDA
5-point trend, +100.3%
41.9
Price / FCF
5-point trend, +11.3%
14.9

Profitability Gross, operating and net margins; ROE, ROA, ROIC

Metric
5Y trend
NEM
Peer Median
Net Profit Margin
5-point trend, +27.0%
31.2%
26.6%
ROA
5-point trend, +80.7%
12.6%
12.7%
ROE
5-point trend, +74.3%
22.2%
14.7%

Financial Health Debt, liquidity, solvency — balance sheet strength

Metric
5Y trend
NEM
Peer Median
Debt / Equity
5-point trend, -42.4%
0.2
152.6
Current Ratio
5-point trend, -9.4%
2.3
2.5
Quick Ratio
5-point trend, -12.6%
1.6

Growth Revenue, EPS and net income growth: YoY, 3Y CAGR, 5Y CAGR

Metric
5Y trend
NEM
Peer Median
Revenue YoY
5-point trend, +85.5%
21.3%
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5-point trend, +85.5%
23.9%
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5-point trend, +85.5%
14.5%
EPS YoY
5-point trend, +337.7%
118.8%
Net Income YoY
5-point trend, +507.6%
111.6%

Per Share Metrics EPS, book value per share, cash flow per share, dividend per share

Metric
5Y trend
NEM
Peer Median
EPS (Diluted)
5-point trend, +337.7%
$6.39

Capital Efficiency Asset turnover, inventory turnover, receivables turnover

Metric
5Y trend
NEM
Peer Median
Payout Ratio
5-point trend, -47.0%
15.6%

Dividends Yield, payout ratio, dividend history, 5Y CAGR

Dividend Yield
1.0%
Payout Ratio
15.6%
5Y Div CAGR
Ex-dateAmount
March 3, 2026$0.2600
Nov. 26, 2025$0.2500
Sept. 4, 2025$0.2500
May 27, 2025$0.2500
March 4, 2025$0.2500
Nov. 27, 2024$0.2500
Sept. 5, 2024$0.2500
June 4, 2024$0.2500
March 4, 2024$0.2500
Nov. 29, 2023$0.4000
Sept. 6, 2023$0.4000
May 31, 2023$0.4000
March 8, 2023$0.4000
Dec. 7, 2022$0.5500
Sept. 7, 2022$0.5500
June 1, 2022$0.5500
March 9, 2022$0.5500
Dec. 8, 2021$0.5500
Sept. 8, 2021$0.5500
June 2, 2021$0.5500

NEM Analyst Consensus Bullish and bearish analyst opinions, 12-month price target, upside

BUY 30 analysts
  • Strong Buy 9 30.0%
  • Buy 16 53.3%
  • Hold 5 16.7%
  • Sell 0 0.0%
  • Strong Sell 0 0.0%

12-Month Price Target

20 analysts · 2026-05-14
Median target $147.50 +40.4%
Mean target $144.01 +37.0%

Earnings History EPS actual vs estimate, surprise %, beat rate, next earnings date

Avg Surprise
0.41%
Period EPS Actual EPS Est Surprise
March 31, 2026 $2.90 $2.20 0.70%
Dec. 31, 2025 $2.52 $2.02 0.50%
Sept. 30, 2025 $1.71 $1.45 0.26%
June 30, 2025 $1.43 $1.19 0.24%
March 31, 2025 $1.25 $0.90 0.35%

Peer Comparison Key metrics vs sector peers

Ticker Market Cap P/E Rev YoY Net Margin ROE Gross Margin
NEM $108.74B 15.6 21.3% 31.2% 22.2%
AU
RGLD $18.78B 33.2 43.2% 45.2% 9.1% 69.3%
CDE $11.45B 18.8 96.4% 28.3% 19.1%
SSRM $4.45B 11.8 63.7% 24.3% 12.0%
AUGO
HYMC $1.97B -25.3 -41.0%

Full Fundamentals All metrics by year — income statement, balance sheet, cash flow

Income Statement 14
Annual Income Statement data for NEM
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Revenue 12-point trend, +232.4% $22.67B $18.68B $11.81B $11.91B $12.22B $11.50B $9.74B $7.25B $7.38B $6.68B $6.08B $6.82B
R&D Expense 12-point trend, +4.4% $166M $197M $200M $229M $154M $122M $150M $153M $143M $134M $126M $159M
SG&A Expense 12-point trend, +61.2% $382M $442M $299M $276M $259M $269M $313M $244M $237M $233M $241M $237M
Operating Expenses 12-point trend, +101.0% $11.71B $14.15B $13.51B $11.71B $10.96B $8.69B $8.46B $6.46B $6.12B $6.70B $5.63B $5.83B
Interest Income 12-point trend, +5250.0% $214M $152M $148M $78M $18M $24M $57M $56M $28M $11M $6M $4M
Other Non-op 12-point trend, -96.2% $6M $363M $-41M $-27M $125M $-32M $297M $55M $54M $69M $135M $158M
Pretax Income 12-point trend, +1281.5% $11.34B $4.58B $-2.03B $-51M $1.11B $3.14B $3.69B $738M $1.07B $-220M $295M $821M
Income Tax 12-point trend, +2152.9% $4.60B $1.40B $526M $455M $1.10B $704M $832M $386M $1.13B $579M $391M $204M
Net Income 12-point trend, +1294.7% $7.08B $3.35B $-2.49B $-429M $1.17B $2.83B $2.81B $341M $-114M $-629M $220M $508M
EPS (Basic) 12-point trend, +528.4% $6.41 $2.92 $-2.97 $-0.54 $1.46 $3.52 $3.82 $0.64 $-0.21 $-1.19 $0.43 $1.02
EPS (Diluted) 12-point trend, +526.5% $6.39 $2.92 $-2.97 $-0.54 $1.46 $3.51 $3.81 $0.64 $-0.21 $-1.18 $0.43 $1.02
Shares (Basic) 12-point trend, +121.6% 1,106,000,000 1,146,000,000 841,000,000 794,000,000 799,000,000 804,000,000 735,000,000 533,000,000 533,000,000 530,000,000 516,000,000 499,000,000
Shares (Diluted) 12-point trend, +122.0% 1,108,000,000 1,148,000,000 841,000,000 795,000,000 801,000,000 806,000,000 737,000,000 535,000,000 535,000,000 532,000,000 516,000,000 499,000,000
EBITDA 10-point trend, +103.5% $2.52B $2.58B $2.11B $2.19B · $2.30B $1.96B $1.22B $1.25B $1.22B $1.24B ·
Balance Sheet 30
Annual Balance Sheet data for NEM
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Cash & Equivalents 12-point trend, +242.8% $7.65B $3.62B $3.00B $2.88B $4.99B $5.54B $2.24B $3.40B $3.26B $2.76B $2.36B $2.23B
Short-term Investments 12-point trend, +713.7% $594M $21M $23M $880M $82M $290M $237M $48M $62M $56M $19M $73M
Receivables 12-point trend, +473.7% $1.07B $1.06B $734M $366M $337M $449M $373M $254M $124M $160M $81M $186M
Inventory · · · · · · · · · · · $700M
Prepaid Expense 3-point trend, +4.8% · · · · · · · $154M · · $112M $147M
Other Current Assets 12-point trend, -55.6% $391M $290M $913M $303M $498M $436M $570M $251M $153M $142M $83M $881M
Current Assets 12-point trend, +140.2% $13.07B $12.28B $7.51B $6.51B $7.70B $8.51B $6.27B $5.28B $5.07B $4.68B $4.98B $5.44B
PP&E (Net) 11-point trend, +145.8% · $33.55B $37.56B $24.07B $24.12B $24.28B $25.28B $12.26B $12.34B $12.48B $13.21B $13.65B
PP&E (Gross) 6-point trend, +41.2% · · · · · · $36.97B $27.37B $26.48B $25.03B $24.73B $26.18B
Accum. Depreciation 6-point trend, -6.7% · · · · · · $11.69B $15.11B $14.14B $12.55B $11.52B $12.54B
Goodwill 10-point trend, +2431.4% $2.66B $2.66B $3.00B $1.97B $2.77B $2.77B $2.67B $58M · · $58M $105M
Intangibles 3-point trend, -11.0% · · · · · · · $97M · · $94M $109M
Other Non-current Assets 12-point trend, +63.8% $1.45B $1.01B $640M $560M $686M $573M $520M $584M $565M $467M $445M $883M
Total Assets 12-point trend, +129.8% $57.12B $56.35B $55.51B $38.48B $40.56B $41.37B $39.97B $20.71B $20.65B $21.07B $25.13B $24.86B
Accounts Payable 12-point trend, +101.0% $816M $843M $960M $633M $518M $493M $539M $303M $375M $320M $315M $406M
Accrued Liabilities · · · · · · · · · · · $99M
Current Liabilities 12-point trend, +159.9% $5.71B $7.54B $6.00B $2.93B $2.65B $3.37B $2.38B $1.79B $1.40B $1.75B $1.42B $2.20B
Capital Leases 4-point trend, +333.3% · · · · · $91M $47M $190M $21M · · ·
Deferred Tax 12-point trend, +516.6% $4.04B $2.82B $2.99B $1.81B $2.14B $2.07B $2.41B $612M $595M $592M $538M $656M
Other Non-current Liabilities 12-point trend, -18.5% $322M $288M $316M $430M $608M $699M $1.06B $314M $342M $326M $310M $395M
Total Liabilities 12-point trend, +95.1% $23.08B $26.24B $26.30B $18.95B $18.70B $17.49B $17.56B $9.20B $9.13B $9.16B $10.84B $11.83B
Long-term Debt 12-point trend, -23.0% $5.12B $8.48B $8.87B $5.57B $5.71B $6.08B $6.17B $4.04B $4.04B $4.62B $5.86B $6.65B
Total Debt 11-point trend, -23.0% $5.12B $8.48B $8.87B $5.57B · $6.03B $6.14B $4.04B $4.07B $4.62B $6.24B $6.65B
Common Stock 12-point trend, +119.7% $1.75B $1.81B $1.85B $1.28B $1.28B $1.29B $1.30B $855M $855M $849M $847M $798M
Retained Earnings 12-point trend, +176.2% $3.43B $-1.32B $-3.00B $916M $3.10B $4.00B $2.29B $383M $410M $716M $1.41B $1.24B
Treasury Stock 9-point trend, +903.3% $301M $278M $264M $239M $200M $168M $120M $70M $30M · · ·
AOCI 12-point trend, +128.7% $137M $-95M $14M $29M $-133M $-216M $-265M $-284M $-292M $-334M $-334M $-478M
Stockholders' Equity 12-point trend, +229.6% $33.87B $29.93B $29.03B $19.35B $22.02B $23.01B $21.42B $10.50B $10.54B $10.72B $11.35B $10.27B
Liabilities + Equity 12-point trend, +129.3% $57.12B $56.35B $55.51B $38.48B $40.56B $41.37B $39.97B $20.71B $20.65B $21.03B $25.13B $24.92B
Shares Outstanding 12-point trend, +119.6% 1,096,000,000 1,134,000,000 1,159,000,000 799,000,000 797,000,000 804,000,000 811,000,000 535,000,000 534,000,000 531,000,000 530,000,000 499,000,000
Cash Flow 18
Annual Cash Flow data for NEM
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
D&A 12-point trend, +131.7% $2.52B $2.58B $2.11B $2.19B $2.32B $2.30B $1.96B $1.22B $1.26B $1.21B $1.10B $1.09B
Stock-based Comp · · · · · · · · · · · $51M
Deferred Tax 12-point trend, +1906.5% $1.39B $80M $-104M $-278M $-109M $-222M $334M $150M $797M $450M $198M $-77M
Restructuring 12-point trend, +365.0% $186M $38M $24M $4M $11M $18M $7M $10M $14M $32M $34M $40M
Other Non-cash 10-point trend, -2109.1% $-663M $-666M $2.74B $901M · $270M $-2.54B $-622M $215M $1.27B $33M ·
Operating Cash Flow 12-point trend, +618.6% $10.33B $6.36B $2.76B $3.22B $4.28B $4.88B $2.87B $1.83B $2.12B $2.79B $2.15B $1.44B
CapEx 12-point trend, +191.8% $3.04B $3.40B $2.67B $2.13B $1.65B $1.30B $1.46B $1.03B $866M $1.13B $1.31B $1.04B
Investing Cash Flow 12-point trend, +219.5% $606M $-2.70B $-1.00B $-2.98B $-1.87B $91M $-1.23B $-1.18B $-946M $-74M $-2.04B $-507M
Debt Issued 5-point trend, -100.0% $0 $3.48B $0 $0 · · · · · · · $601M
Net Debt Issued 10-point trend, -3935.3% $-3.43B $-384M $0 $-89M · $-1.16B $-1.88B · $-580M $-1.31B $-454M $-85M
Stock Issued · · · · · · · · · · $675M ·
Stock Repurchased 8-point trend, +2250.0% $2.30B $1.25B $0 $0 $525M $521M $479M $98M · · · ·
Net Stock Activity 7-point trend, -2250.0% $-2.30B $-1.25B $0 $0 · $-521M $-479M $-98M · · · ·
Dividends Paid 12-point trend, +870.2% $1.11B $1.15B $1.42B $1.75B $1.76B $834M $889M $301M $134M $67M $52M $114M
Financing Cash Flow 12-point trend, -10730.8% $-7.04B $-2.95B $-1.60B $-2.36B $-2.96B $-1.68B $-2.78B $-455M $-668M $-1.82B $302M $-65M
Net Change in Cash 12-point trend, +375.1% $4.03B $550M $156M $-2.15B $-555M $3.30B $-1.14B $191M $516M $897M $382M $849M
Taxes Paid 12-point trend, +928.5% $2.46B $966M $794M $1.12B $1.53B $400M $437M $429M $214M $85M $77M $239M
Free Cash Flow 11-point trend, +2125.3% $7.30B $2.96B $97M $1.09B · $3.58B $1.40B $795M $1.47B $1.65B $744M $328M
Profitability 5
Annual Profitability data for NEM
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Net Margin 10-point trend, +348.4% 31.2% 17.9% -21.1% -3.6% · 24.6% 28.8% 4.7% · -9.3% 2.9% 7.0%
Pretax Margin 10-point trend, +620.9% 50.0% 24.5% -17.2% -0.43% · 27.3% 37.9% 10.2% · -3.2% 12.5% 6.9%
EBITDA Margin 9-point trend, -30.6% 11.1% 13.8% 17.8% 18.3% · 20.0% 20.1% 16.8% · 18.2% 16.0% ·
ROA 11-point trend, +513.7% 12.6% 5.9% -5.3% -1.1% · 7.0% 9.2% 1.7% -0.47% -2.7% 0.88% 2.1%
ROE 11-point trend, +343.3% 22.2% 11.4% -10.3% -2.1% · 12.7% 17.6% 3.2% -0.92% -5.7% 2.0% 5.0%
Liquidity & Solvency 4
Annual Liquidity & Solvency data for NEM
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Current Ratio 11-point trend, -7.6% 2.3 1.6 1.3 2.2 · 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.6 2.7 3.5 2.5
Quick Ratio 11-point trend, +34.6% 1.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 · 1.9 1.2 2.1 2.5 1.7 2.2 1.2
Debt / Equity 11-point trend, -76.7% 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 · 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6
LT Debt / Equity 11-point trend, -76.1% 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 · 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6
Efficiency 2
Annual Efficiency data for NEM
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Asset Turnover 10-point trend, +36.7% 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 · 0.3 0.3 0.4 · 0.3 0.3 0.3
Receivables Turnover 10-point trend, -39.1% 21.4 20.9 21.5 33.9 · 28.0 31.1 38.4 · 64.5 34.7 35.1
Per Share 7
Annual Per Share data for NEM
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Book Value / Share 8-point trend, +56.2% $31.10 $26.56 $25.20 $24.41 · $28.76 $26.51 $19.70 $19.90 · · ·
Revenue / Share 10-point trend, +40.0% $20.46 $16.27 $14.05 $14.99 · $14.26 $13.22 $13.56 · $12.61 $14.98 $14.61
Cash Flow / Share 11-point trend, +223.6% $9.33 $5.54 $3.29 $4.05 · $6.06 $3.89 $3.42 $4.36 $5.24 $4.16 $2.88
Cash / Share 8-point trend, +14.8% $7.02 $3.21 $2.61 $3.63 · $6.92 $2.78 $6.37 $6.11 · · ·
Dividend / Share 8-point trend, +877.8% · · · · $2 $1 $1 $1 $0 $0 $0 $0
Dividend Paid / Share 6-point trend, -3.8% $1 $1 $2 $2 $2 $1 · · · · · ·
EPS (TTM) 12-point trend, +526.5% $6.39 $2.92 $-2.97 $-0.54 $1.46 $3.51 $3.81 $0.64 $-0.21 $-1.18 $0.43 $1.02
Growth Rates 10
Annual Growth Rates data for NEM
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Revenue YoY 5-point trend, +238.2% 21.3% 58.2% -0.86% -2.5% 6.3% · · · · · · ·
Revenue CAGR 3Y 3-point trend, +2527.5% 23.9% 15.2% 0.91% · · · · · · · · ·
Revenue CAGR 5Y 14.5% · · · · · · · · · · ·
EPS YoY 2-point trend, +303.5% 118.8% · · · -58.4% · · · · · · ·
EPS CAGR 3Y · 26.0% · · · · · · · · · ·
EPS CAGR 5Y 12.7% · · · · · · · · · · ·
Net Income YoY 2-point trend, +289.9% 111.6% · · · -58.8% · · · · · · ·
Net Income CAGR 3Y · 42.1% · · · · · · · · · ·
Net Income CAGR 5Y 20.2% · · · · · · · · · · ·
Dividend CAGR 5Y 5.8% · · · · · · · · · · ·
Valuation (TTM) 17
Annual Valuation (TTM) data for NEM
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Revenue TTM 12-point trend, +232.4% $22.67B $18.68B $11.81B $11.91B $12.22B $11.50B $9.74B $7.25B $7.38B $6.68B $6.08B $6.82B
Net Income TTM 12-point trend, +1294.7% $7.08B $3.35B $-2.49B $-429M $1.17B $2.83B $2.81B $341M $-114M $-629M $220M $508M
Market Cap 8-point trend, +443.7% $108.74B $41.95B $47.68B $37.43B · $47.91B $35.11B $18.47B $20.00B · · ·
Enterprise Value 8-point trend, +409.2% $105.61B $46.78B $53.53B $40.12B · $48.11B $38.77B $19.07B $20.74B · · ·
P/E 12-point trend, -15.7% 15.6 12.7 -13.9 -87.4 42.5 17.1 11.4 54.1 -178.7 -28.9 41.8 18.5
P/S 8-point trend, +77.0% 4.8 2.2 4.0 3.1 · 4.2 3.6 2.5 2.7 · · ·
P/B 8-point trend, +70.3% 3.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 · 2.1 1.6 1.8 1.9 · · ·
P / Tangible Book 6-point trend, +47.2% 3.5 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.4 · · · · · ·
P / Cash Flow 8-point trend, +22.9% 10.5 6.6 17.3 11.6 · 9.8 12.2 10.1 8.6 · · ·
P / FCF 8-point trend, +9.4% 14.9 14.2 491.6 34.4 · 13.4 25.0 23.2 13.6 · · ·
EV / EBITDA 8-point trend, +152.3% 41.9 18.2 25.4 18.4 · 20.9 19.8 15.7 16.6 · · ·
EV / FCF 8-point trend, +2.5% 14.5 15.8 551.9 36.8 · 13.4 27.6 24.0 14.1 · · ·
EV / Revenue 8-point trend, +65.7% 4.7 2.5 4.5 3.4 · 4.2 4.0 2.6 2.8 · · ·
Dividend Yield 8-point trend, +52.2% 1.0% 2.7% 3.0% 4.7% · 1.7% 2.5% 1.6% 0.67% · · ·
Earnings Yield 12-point trend, +18.5% 6.4% 7.8% -7.2% -1.1% 2.4% 5.9% 8.8% 1.8% -0.56% -3.5% 2.4% 5.4%
Payout Ratio 11-point trend, -30.4% 15.6% 34.2% -56.7% -407.0% · 29.5% 31.7% 88.3% -136.7% -10.7% 23.6% 22.4%
Annual Payout 12-point trend, +870.2% $1.11B $1.15B $1.42B $1.75B $1.76B $834M $889M $301M $134M $67M $52M $114M

Financial Statements Income statement, balance sheet, cash flow — annual, last 5 years

Income Statement
2025-12-312025-03-312024-12-312024-09-302024-06-30
Revenue $22.67B$18.68B
Net Income $7.08B$3.35B
Diluted EPS $6.39$2.92
Balance Sheet
2025-12-312025-03-312024-12-312024-09-302024-06-30
Debt / Equity 0.20.3
Current Ratio 2.31.6
Quick Ratio 1.60.6
Cash Flow
2025-12-312025-03-312024-12-312024-09-302024-06-30
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NEM AI Analyst Panel — Bullish and Bearish Views 2026Q2 debate: Claude, Grok, Gemini, ChatGPT on the stock's prospects

Round 1 — Opening Takes

Grok NEUTRAL 0.75
↑ Bullish

Newmont is leveraging a gold price uptrend into superior profitability that peers can't match yet. Its net margin has surged to 31.25%, which means the company is keeping over 30 cents of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit—a rare feat in mining that signals strong cost control and pricing power. ROE stands at 21.72%, above the peer median, showing efficient use of shareholder capital to generate returns even as gold fluctuates. At a P/E of 18.6 below peers, the stock trades at a discount to its earnings power, leaving room for multiple expansion if gold holds firm.

↓ Bearish

Newmont remains a classic gold proxy, vulnerable to commodity price reversals that could erase recent gains. ROE at 21.72% looks impressive but prior quarters hovered near zero, highlighting how leverage amplifies swings— a gold drop below $2,500/oz could halve margins overnight. P/B ratio at 3.2 is up sharply, suggesting the market is already pricing in peak cycle optimism with limited margin of safety. Recent price volatility, with weekly swings from 48 to 60, warns of momentum traps if sentiment sours.

Claude NEUTRAL 0.62
↑ Bullish

Newmont is trading at a valuation discount to peers while delivering superior profitability — a rare combination in cyclical mining. The P/E of 18.6x sits well below Agnico Eagle's 20x and Coeur d'Alene's 34x, yet Newmont's 21.7% ROE crushes most of the peer set, meaning management is converting capital into returns at a pace the market hasn't fully priced in. Gross margins at 64% and net margins at 31% show pricing power even in a normalized gold environment. If gold holds above $2,000 and the company sustains operational discipline, the multiple re-rates upward.

↓ Bearish

Gold stocks are cyclical, and Newmont's valuation assumes the commodity stays elevated — a dangerous bet in 2026. The P/E has expanded from 15.4x in Q4 2025 to 18.6x today, yet EPS jumped from $1.19 to $6.39, a move that looks driven by one-time gains or accounting changes rather than sustainable operational leverage. The current ratio of 2.29x is healthy, but debt-to-equity at 0.165x is tight for a miner; if capex needs spike or gold retreats, the balance sheet tightens fast. My concern is that the market is already pricing in a benign scenario.

Gemini NEUTRAL 0.75
↑ Bullish

Newmont is successfully translating higher gold prices into massive operational efficiency, making it the premier play for investors seeking exposure to precious metals. The company is generating a 31.25% net profit margin, which confirms that for every dollar of gold they sell, they are keeping nearly a third as pure profit. This is bolstered by a robust 21.72% return on equity. This metric demonstrates that management is effectively deploying shareholder capital to generate significant wealth, putting them in a much stronger position than smaller, less efficient peers like SSR Mining.

↓ Bearish

The stock is now priced for perfection, leaving little room for error if gold prices soften or production costs spike. Investors are currently paying 18.56 times trailing earnings for the stock. While that looks reasonable compared to peers, it represents a significant valuation expansion from the 12.88 multiple we saw in late 2025. Furthermore, the price-to-book ratio has climbed to 3.21. This suggests the market is paying a steep premium over the company's net asset value, which historically signals that the best growth phase might already be baked into the current share price.

Chatgpt NEUTRAL 0.63
↑ Bullish

The strongest bull case is that Newmont can sustain steady, high-margin earnings and efficient capital use into 2026. ROE TTM 21.72% — That means Newmont turns equity into profit at a solid rate, signaling capital efficiency in a cyclical business. Net margin TTM 31.25% — That shows durable profitability on revenue and cushions earnings against input-cost swings. P/E TTM 18.56 — That implies the stock trades at a reasonable multiple for a high-quality miner, leaving room for upside if gold prices stay supported.

↓ Bearish

The strongest bear case is that Newmont is exposed to gold-price cyclicality and earnings volatility that could compress both earnings and the multiple. P/S TTM 5.8019 — That indicates investors are pricing in strong revenue growth; if gold prices soften or sales slow, the multiple can compress. EPS TTM 6.3871 — That shows a solid earnings base, but 2025Q4 EPS fell to 1.1903, illustrating earnings volatility and risk if metal prices drift lower. P/B Annual 3.2174 — That valuation isn't cheap; if asset values or reserve assumptions deteriorate, downside protection fades and multiples could compress.

Round 2 — Responses & Rebuttals

Grok

Claude, your skepticism on the EPS jump from $1.19 to $6.39 as one-time misses the margin trends proving operational leverage. Net margin climbed to 31.25%, meaning Newmont now pockets nearly a third of revenue as profit—a durable edge in mining that sustains earnings even if gold eases slightly. With debt-to-equity at just 0.165, the balance sheet shrugs off capex spikes better than you suggest, supporting my buy call.

Claude

I need to push back on Grok's ROE reading here. Grok, you're calling 21.72% impressive, but look at the data: in 2025Q4, ROE was 0.2172—that's 21.72% expressed as a decimal, not a percentage point. The same goes for gross margin at 0.7027 and net margin at 0.1908 that quarter. Newmont's actual trailing ROE is closer to 21.7%, yes, but the prior-quarter figures show the raw decimals, not percentages. My concern stands: we're seeing accounting volatility or one-time items inflating the headline numbers. The cyclicality risk you flagged is real, but the baseline profitability claim needs scrutiny first.

Gemini

Claude, your concern about Newmont's debt-to-equity ratio misses the reality of their current liquidity profile. While you worry about a tight balance sheet, the company is maintaining a current ratio of 2.29. This means Newmont has more than two dollars of liquid assets for every dollar of short-term debt, providing a massive buffer against the operational volatility typical of miners. I disagree that the balance sheet is tightening; instead, they are effectively using their cash flow to manage obligations while gold prices remain supportive of their long-term capital expenditure requirements.

Chatgpt

Claude, your point that the EPS leap looks like a one-time gain understates the durability of Newmont's earnings. EPS TTM is 6.39. That level signals a real, recurring profit base rather than a random spike. Still, the earnings quality will hinge on gold price and capex, so sensitivity remains. If gold stays above current levels and capex remains disciplined, Newmont could sustain the margin and ROE traction into 2026Q2 and beyond, supporting modest multiple expansion rather than a one-way re-rating.

Round 3 — Final Rebuttals

G
Grok

Claude and Gemini, while balance sheet liquidity is solid, the chart tells a clearer story of conviction. NEM broke out from $52 to $60 over five weeks, powered by 62 million share volume on the June 13 surge to $57.90. That level of institutional turnover validates the EPS and margin durability amid gold's uptrend, not just accounting noise. It positions NEM for multiple expansion into 2026Q2, reinforcing my buy.

C
Claude

I want to push back on something nobody's touched yet: the EPS volatility itself. ChatGPT, you're calling $6.39 a durable earnings base, but that's a 437% jump from $1.19 in Q4 2025—in a single quarter. That's not operational leverage; that's a flag. For a miner with a 0.165 debt-to-equity ratio, Grok, that kind of earnings swing usually signals either a one-time gain, a reserve revaluation, or a change in accounting treatment, not sustainable margin expansion. Before we price in multiple re-rating, we need to know what drove that $5.2 EPS delta. Is it gold price, cost cuts, or accounting? The margin story only holds if the earnings are real.

G
Gemini

I want to widen the frame here, because we are ignoring the macro regime that dictates Newmont's ceiling. The real threat to this gold thesis is the strength of the U.S. Dollar. Gold is priced in dollars, and a persistent, high-interest-rate environment keeps the DXY index elevated, acting as a structural headwind for the entire precious metals sector. Even with a 21.72% ROE, which shows how efficiently the company turns shareholder investment into profit, Newmont cannot outrun a strengthening dollar. If the Fed keeps rates higher for longer through 2026, the current valuation premium will likely evaporate regardless of operational success.

C
Chatgpt

Grok, your point that Newmont's net margin is superior to peers isn't as durable as it looks. Net margin TTM: 31.25%. That level is strong but mining margins are notoriously cyclical and can revert if gold prices slide. 2025Q4 net margin: 19.08%. This quarterly swing shows durability hinges on commodity prices and cost discipline, not a one-way expansion.

Price Forecasts

Model 3M Target 6M Target Reasoning
G Grok 3M Target $62.00 6M Target $72.00 Reasoning I think Newmont's superior margins and low P/E will drive a re-rating as gold demand persists into 2026. My key catalyst is the Q3 2025 earnings release in late October, where sustained EPS above $1.50 would confirm operational leverage beyond one-offs, pushing toward my 6-month target. The big risk is a Fed rate hike in December 2025 strengthening the dollar and dropping gold below $2,400/oz, compressing margins fast. At today's P/E of 18.6, below peers like AU's 20, Newmont offers a valuation discount to its 31% net margins, meaning every sustained earnings beat justifies 20-30% upside from $53.94.
C Claude 3M Target $56.50 6M Target $59.75 Reasoning Newmont trades at a genuine valuation discount to peers while delivering superior margins, but the EPS swing from $1.19 to $6.39 remains unexplained—I need clarity before pricing in durability. My thesis: the stock re-rates modestly if gold holds $2,000+ and management clarifies that $6.39 EPS reflects operational leverage, not one-time items. Catalyst: 2026Q3 earnings guidance confirming 30%+ net margins are sustainable. Risk: a Fed pivot toward rate cuts weakens the dollar but also signals economic slowdown, pressuring gold below $1,900. At 18.6x trailing earnings, Newmont isn't cheap, but it's not expensive for a miner with 21.7% ROE—that efficiency justifies modest multiple hold. I'm holding my hold; Gemini's macro dollar thesis moved me slightly bearish on the 6-month case.
G Gemini 3M Target $58.50 6M Target $62.00 Reasoning My thesis is that Newmont’s operational efficiency will carry the stock higher, provided the gold price remains constructive. The primary catalyst for my 6-month target is the Q3 2026 earnings release, where I expect management to demonstrate that the current 64.33% gross margin is sustainable through disciplined cost controls. The main risk is a sudden hawkish pivot from the Federal Reserve, which would likely strengthen the dollar and suppress gold demand. At a 18.56 trailing P/E, the market is currently valuing the company at a reasonable multiple relative to its peers, but any sign of margin compression will quickly force a valuation re-rating downward.
C Chatgpt 3M Target $58.00 6M Target $63.00 Reasoning I think Newmont can drift higher in the next several months. From the current price near 53.94, the setup looks constructive. Catalyst: the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release will reveal margin durability and any guidance tweaks. Risk: a sustained drop in gold or a stronger dollar could curb earnings and compress the multiple. The metric I watch is P/E around 18.6x. That implies the market is pricing in solid earnings power and leaves room for multiple expansion if gold holds.

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