TSLA Tesla, Inc. - Common Stock

NASDAQ · Automobiles · View on SEC EDGAR ↗
$412.66
Price · May 20, 2026
Fundamentals as of Apr 30, 2026

TSLA Stock Snapshot Price, market cap, P/E, EPS, ROE, debt/equity, 52-week range

Price
$412.66
Market Cap
P/E (TTM)
416.4
EPS (TTM)
$1.08
Revenue (TTM)
$94.83B
Div Yield
ROE
Debt/Equity
52W Range
$273 – $499

TSLA Stock Price Chart Daily OHLCV with technical indicators — pan, zoom, and customize your view

10-Year Performance Revenue, net income, margins and EPS trends

Revenue & Net Income $94.83B
10-point trend, +1254.6%
2016-12-31 2025-12-31
EPS $1.08
10-point trend, +123.1%
2016-12-31 2025-12-31
Free Cash Flow
5-point trend, +410.3%
2016-12-31 2023-12-31
Margins
5-point trend, -20.1%
2016-12-31 2023-12-31

Valuation P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA ratios — is the stock expensive or cheap?

Metric
5Y trend
TSLA
Peer Median
P/E (TTM)
5-point trend, +92.7%
416.4
153.0

Profitability Gross, operating and net margins; ROE, ROA, ROIC

Metric
5Y trend
TSLA
Peer Median

Financial Health Debt, liquidity, solvency — balance sheet strength

Metric
5Y trend
TSLA
Peer Median

Growth Revenue, EPS and net income growth: YoY, 3Y CAGR, 5Y CAGR

Metric
5Y trend
TSLA
Peer Median
Revenue YoY
5-point trend, +76.2%
-2.9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5-point trend, +76.2%
5.2%
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5-point trend, +76.2%
24.6%
EPS YoY
5-point trend, -33.7%
-47.1%
Net Income YoY
5-point trend, -31.3%
-46.5%

Per Share Metrics EPS, book value per share, cash flow per share, dividend per share

Metric
5Y trend
TSLA
Peer Median
EPS (Diluted)
5-point trend, -33.7%
$1.08

Capital Efficiency Asset turnover, inventory turnover, receivables turnover

Metric
5Y trend
TSLA
Peer Median

TSLA Analyst Consensus Bullish and bearish analyst opinions, 12-month price target, upside

HOLD 61 analysts
  • Strong Buy 9 14.8%
  • Buy 20 32.8%
  • Hold 24 39.3%
  • Sell 7 11.5%
  • Strong Sell 1 1.6%

12-Month Price Target

41 analysts · 2026-05-17
Median target $450.00 +9.0%
Mean target $411.89 -0.2%

Earnings History EPS actual vs estimate, surprise %, beat rate, next earnings date

Avg Surprise
-0.03%
Period EPS Actual EPS Est Surprise
March 31, 2026 $0.41 $0.38 0.03%
Dec. 31, 2025 $0.50 $0.45 0.05%
Sept. 30, 2025 $0.50 $0.56 -0.06%
June 30, 2025 $0.40 $0.44 -0.04%
March 31, 2025 $0.27 $0.40 -0.13%

Peer Comparison Key metrics vs sector peers

Ticker Market Cap P/E Rev YoY Net Margin ROE Gross Margin
TSLA 416.4 -2.9%
GM $73.51B 24.9 -1.3% 1.5% 4.3%
F -6.4 1.2% -4.4% -20.3%
RIVN $24.44B -6.4 8.4% -67.7% -68.3% 2.7%
THO $6.12B 18.8 -4.6% 2.7% 6.2% 14.0%
LCID $3.46B -0.9 67.6% -199.3% -172.7%
WGO $1.86B 39.5 -5.9% 0.92% 2.1% 13.1%
FFAI
SEV -2.4 -185.8%
CENN $199.4K -0.0 -42.2% -403.7% -123.6% -12.8%

Full Fundamentals All metrics by year — income statement, balance sheet, cash flow

Income Statement 18
Annual Income Statement data for TSLA
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Revenue 12-point trend, +2864.9% $94.83B $97.69B $96.77B $81.46B $53.82B $31.54B $24.58B $21.46B $11.76B $7.00B $4.05B $3.20B
Cost of Revenue 12-point trend, +3255.4% $77.73B $80.24B $79.11B $60.61B $40.22B $24.91B $20.51B $17.42B $9.54B $5.40B $3.12B $2.32B
Gross Profit 12-point trend, +1838.8% $17.09B $17.45B $17.66B $20.85B $13.61B $6.63B $4.07B $4.04B $2.22B $1.60B $924M $882M
R&D Expense 12-point trend, +1279.6% $6.41B $4.54B $3.97B $3.08B $2.59B $1.49B $1.34B $1.46B $1.38B $834M $718M $465M
SG&A Expense 12-point trend, +866.4% $5.83B $5.15B $4.80B $3.95B $4.52B $3.15B $2.65B $2.83B $2.48B $1.43B $922M $604M
Operating Expenses 12-point trend, +1092.4% $12.74B $10.37B $8.77B $7.20B $7.08B $4.64B $4.14B $4.43B $3.85B $2.27B $1.64B $1.07B
Operating Income 12-point trend, +2432.8% $4.36B $7.08B $8.89B $13.66B $6.52B $1.99B $-69M $-388M $-1.63B $-667M $-717M $-187M
Interest Expense 10-point trend, +54.6% · · $156M $191M $371M $748M $685M $663M $471M $199M $119M $101M
Interest Income 12-point trend, +149100.7% $1.68B $1.57B $1.07B $297M $56M $30M $44M $24M $19M $9M $2M $1M
Other Non-op 12-point trend, -23210.9% $-419M $695M $172M $-43M $135M $-122M $45M $22M $-125M $111M $-42M $2M
Pretax Income 12-point trend, +1954.3% $5.28B $8.99B $9.97B $13.72B $6.34B $1.15B $-665M $-1.00B $-2.21B $-746M $-876M $-285M
Income Tax 12-point trend, +15031.9% $1.42B $1.84B $-5.00B $1.13B $699M $292M $110M $58M $32M $27M $13M $9M
Net Income 12-point trend, +1390.3% $3.79B $7.09B $15.00B $12.56B $5.52B $721M $-862M $-976M $-1.96B $-675M $-889M $-294M
EPS (Basic) 11-point trend, +117.0% $1.18 $2.23 $4.73 $4.02 $1.87 $0.25 $-0.98 $-1.14 $-11.83 $-4.68 $-6.93 ·
EPS (Diluted) 11-point trend, +115.6% $1.08 $2.04 $4.30 $3.62 $1.63 $0.21 $-0.98 $-1.14 $-11.83 $-4.68 $-6.93 ·
Shares (Basic) 11-point trend, +2415.6% 3,225,000,000 3,197,000,000 3,174,000,000 3,130,000,000 2,959,000,000 2,798,000,000 887,000,000 853,000,000 166,000,000 144,212,000 128,202,000 ·
Shares (Diluted) 11-point trend, +2651.9% 3,528,000,000 3,498,000,000 3,485,000,000 3,475,000,000 3,386,000,000 3,249,000,000 887,000,000 853,000,000 166,000,000 144,212,000 128,202,000 ·
EBITDA 7-point trend, +28977.2% · · $8.89B $13.66B · · · $-388M $-863M $-190M $-438M $-31M
Balance Sheet 27
Annual Balance Sheet data for TSLA
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Cash & Equivalents 12-point trend, +766.5% $16.51B $16.14B $16.40B $16.25B $17.58B $19.38B $6.27B $3.69B $3.37B $3.39B $1.20B $1.91B
Short-term Investments 6-point trend, +164846.1% $27.55B $20.42B $12.70B $5.93B $131M · · · · · $17M ·
Receivables 12-point trend, +1919.4% $4.58B $4.42B $3.51B $2.95B $1.91B $1.89B $1.32B $949M $515M $499M $169M $227M
Inventory 12-point trend, +1199.4% $12.39B $12.02B $13.63B $12.84B $5.76B $4.10B $3.55B $3.11B $2.26B $2.07B $1.28B $954M
Prepaid Expense 12-point trend, +9902.1% $7.62B $5.36B $3.39B $2.94B $1.72B $1.35B $959M $366M $268M $194M $116M $76M
Current Assets 12-point trend, +2058.5% $68.64B $58.36B $49.62B $40.92B $27.10B $26.72B $12.10B $8.31B $6.57B $6.26B $2.78B $3.18B
PP&E (Net) 11-point trend, +1859.0% · $35.84B $29.73B $23.55B $18.88B $12.75B $10.40B $11.33B $10.03B $5.98B $3.40B $1.83B
PP&E (Gross) 11-point trend, +2323.5% · $51.42B $41.78B $32.59B $25.61B $17.86B $14.13B $14.03B $11.75B $6.98B $3.97B $2.12B
Accum. Depreciation 11-point trend, +5227.6% · $15.59B $12.06B $9.04B $6.73B $5.12B $3.73B $2.70B $1.72B $997M $571M $293M
Goodwill 9-point trend, +326.6% $257M $244M $253M $194M $200M $207M $198M $68M $60M · · ·
Intangibles 11-point trend, +867.5% $124M $150M $178M $215M $257M $313M $339M $282M $362M $376M $13M ·
Other Non-current Assets 12-point trend, +11575.8% $5.04B $4.61B $4.53B $3.87B $2.14B $1.54B $1.47B $572M $273M $217M $47M $43M
Total Assets 12-point trend, +2263.5% $137.81B $122.07B $106.62B $82.34B $62.13B $52.15B $34.31B $29.74B $28.66B $22.66B $8.07B $5.83B
Accounts Payable 12-point trend, +1618.8% $13.37B $12.47B $14.43B $15.26B $10.03B $6.05B $3.77B $3.40B $2.39B $1.86B $916M $778M
Accrued Liabilities 5-point trend, +678.8% · · · · · · · $2.09B $1.73B $1.21B $423M $269M
Current Liabilities 12-point trend, +1405.1% $31.71B $28.82B $28.75B $26.71B $19.70B $14.25B $10.67B $9.99B $7.67B $5.83B $2.81B $2.11B
Capital Leases 12-point trend, +43830.9% $5.39B $4.60B $3.67B $2.16B $1.67B $1.25B $956M $993M $589M $77M $17M $12M
Other Non-current Liabilities 12-point trend, +8215.0% $12.86B $10.49B $8.15B $5.33B $3.55B $3.33B $2.69B $2.71B $2.44B $1.89B $365M $155M
Total Liabilities 12-point trend, +1030.3% $54.94B $48.39B $43.01B $36.44B $30.55B $28.42B $26.20B $23.43B $23.02B $16.75B $6.94B $4.86B
Long-term Debt 11-point trend, +122.4% $6.58B $5.54B $2.68B $1.03B $4.25B $8.46B $10.40B $8.41B $8.83B $5.89B · $2.96B
Common Stock 12-point trend, +2281.0% $3M $3M $3M $3M $3M $1M $1M $0 $169.0K $161.0K $131.0K $126.0K
Paid-in Capital · · · · · $27.26B · · · · · ·
Retained Earnings 12-point trend, +2820.5% $39.00B $35.21B $27.88B $12.88B $329M $-5.40B $-6.08B $-5.32B $-4.97B $-3.00B $-2.32B $-1.43B
AOCI 12-point trend, +1641009.1% $361M $-670M $-143M $-361M $54M $363M $-36M $-8M $33M $-24M $-4M $-22.0K
Stockholders' Equity 12-point trend, +8909.1% $82.14B $72.91B $62.63B $44.70B $30.19B $22.23B $6.62B $4.92B $4.24B $4.75B $1.08B $912M
Liabilities + Equity 12-point trend, +2263.5% $137.81B $122.07B $106.62B $82.34B $62.13B $52.15B $34.31B $29.74B $28.66B $22.66B $8.07B $5.83B
Shares Outstanding 12-point trend, +2884.4% 3,751,000,000 3,216,000,000 3,185,000,000 3,164,000,000 3,100,000,000 960,000,000 905,000,000 173,000,000 168,797,000 161,561,000 131,425,000 125,688,000
Cash Flow 16
Annual Cash Flow data for TSLA
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
D&A 4-point trend, +393.5% · · · · · · · · $769M $477M $279M $156M
Stock-based Comp 12-point trend, +1705.2% $2.83B $2.00B $1.81B $1.56B $2.12B $1.73B $898M $749M $467M $334M $198M $156M
Deferred Tax 12-point trend, +219742.9% $123M $477M $-6.35B $-196M $-149M $40M $19M $32M $-3M $-28M $2M $-56.0K
Amort. of Intangibles 5-point trend, +27.5% · · · · $51M $51M $44M $66M $40M · · ·
Restructuring $390M · · · · · · · · · · ·
Other Non-cash 4-point trend, +983.6% · · · · · · · · $668M $-233M $-115M $-76M
Operating Cash Flow 12-point trend, +25819.9% $14.75B $14.92B $13.26B $14.72B $11.50B $5.94B $2.40B $2.10B $-61M $-124M $-524M $-57M
CapEx 12-point trend, +779.2% $8.53B $11.34B $8.90B $7.16B $6.48B $3.16B $1.33B $2.10B $3.42B $1.28B $1.63B $970M
Investing Cash Flow 10-point trend, -1331.7% $-15.48B $-18.79B $-15.58B $-11.97B $-7.87B $-3.13B $-1.44B $-2.34B $-4.20B $-1.08B · ·
Stock Issued 7-point trend, -100.0% · · · $0 $0 $12.27B $848M · $400M $1.70B $730M ·
Net Stock Activity 4-point trend, -100.0% · · · $0 · · · · $400M $1.70B $730M ·
Financing Cash Flow 10-point trend, -69.6% $1.14B $3.85B $2.59B $-3.53B $-5.20B $9.97B $1.53B $574M $4.42B $3.74B · ·
Net Change in Cash 12-point trend, -45.4% $579M $-152M $265M $-1.22B $-1.76B $13.12B $2.51B $312M $198M $2.53B $-709M $1.06B
Taxes Paid 3-point trend, +10.0% $1.23B $1.33B $1.12B · · · · · · · · ·
Free Cash Flow 7-point trend, +524.3% · · $4.36B $7.57B · · · $-3M $-3.48B $-1.40B $-2.16B $-1.03B
Levered FCF 7-point trend, +464.5% · · $4.12B $7.39B · · · $-704M $-3.95B $-1.61B $-2.28B $-1.13B
Profitability 8
Annual Profitability data for TSLA
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Gross Margin 7-point trend, -33.8% · · 18.2% 25.6% · · · 18.8% 18.9% 22.9% 22.8% 27.6%
Operating Margin 7-point trend, +257.4% · · 9.2% 16.8% · · · -1.8% -13.9% -9.5% -17.7% -5.8%
Net Margin 7-point trend, +268.7% · · 15.5% 15.4% · · · -4.5% -16.7% -9.6% -22.0% -9.2%
Pretax Margin 7-point trend, +215.8% · · 10.3% 16.8% · · · -4.7% -18.8% -10.7% -21.6% -8.9%
EBITDA Margin 7-point trend, +1057.3% · · 9.2% 16.8% · · · -1.8% -7.3% -2.7% -10.8% -0.96%
ROA 7-point trend, +323.2% · · 15.9% 17.4% · · · -3.3% -7.6% -4.4% -12.8% -7.1%
ROE 7-point trend, +175.0% · · 27.9% 33.5% · · · -21.3% -43.6% -23.1% -88.8% -37.2%
ROIC 7-point trend, +200.8% · · 21.3% 28.0% · · · -8.3% -39.1% -14.5% -66.8% -21.1%
Liquidity & Solvency 3
Annual Liquidity & Solvency data for TSLA
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Current Ratio 7-point trend, +13.7% · · 1.7 1.5 · · · 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.5
Quick Ratio 7-point trend, +12.1% · · 1.1 0.9 · · · 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.5 1.0
Interest Coverage 7-point trend, +3179.9% · · 57.0 71.5 · · · -0.6 -3.5 -3.4 -6.0 -1.9
Efficiency 3
Annual Efficiency data for TSLA
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Asset Turnover 7-point trend, +32.4% · · 1.0 1.1 · · · 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8
Inventory Turnover 7-point trend, +67.0% · · 6.0 6.5 · · · 6.5 4.4 3.2 2.8 3.6
Receivables Turnover 7-point trend, +29.1% · · 30.0 33.5 · · · 29.3 23.2 21.0 20.5 23.2
Per Share 5
Annual Per Share data for TSLA
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Book Value / Share 7-point trend, +171.1% · · $19.67 $14.13 · · · $28.52 $25.10 $29.42 $8.29 $7.25
Revenue / Share 4-point trend, -60.9% · · $27.77 $23.44 · · · $125.85 $70.94 · · ·
Cash Flow / Share 4-point trend, +1139.5% · · $3.80 $4.24 · · · $12.30 $-0.37 · · ·
Cash / Share 7-point trend, -66.0% · · $5.15 $5.14 · · · $21.35 $19.95 $21.00 $9.11 $15.16
EPS (TTM) 11-point trend, +115.6% $1.08 $2.04 $4.30 $3.62 $1.63 $0.21 $-0.98 $-1.14 $-11.83 $-4.68 $-6.93 ·
Growth Rates 9
Annual Growth Rates data for TSLA
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Revenue YoY 5-point trend, -104.1% -2.9% 0.95% 18.8% 51.3% 70.7% · · · · · · ·
Revenue CAGR 3Y 3-point trend, -88.5% 5.2% 22.0% 45.3% · · · · · · · · ·
Revenue CAGR 5Y 24.6% · · · · · · · · · · ·
EPS YoY 5-point trend, -107.0% -47.1% -52.6% 18.8% 122.1% 676.2% · · · · · · ·
EPS CAGR 3Y 3-point trend, -119.1% -33.2% 7.8% 173.6% · · · · · · · · ·
EPS CAGR 5Y 38.8% · · · · · · · · · · ·
Net Income YoY 5-point trend, -107.0% -46.5% -52.7% 19.4% 127.5% 665.5% · · · · · · ·
Net Income CAGR 3Y 3-point trend, -118.8% -32.9% 8.7% 175.0% · · · · · · · · ·
Net Income CAGR 5Y 39.4% · · · · · · · · · · ·
Valuation (TTM) 10
Annual Valuation (TTM) data for TSLA
Metric Trend 202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Revenue TTM 12-point trend, +2864.9% $94.83B $97.69B $96.77B $81.46B $53.82B $31.54B $24.58B $21.46B $11.76B $7.00B $4.05B $3.20B
Net Income TTM 12-point trend, +1390.3% $3.79B $7.09B $15.00B $12.56B $5.52B $721M $-862M $-976M $-1.96B $-675M $-889M $-294M
Market Cap 7-point trend, +42366.5% · · $791.41B $389.74B · · · $3.83B $3.50B $2.30B $2.10B $1.86B
P/E 11-point trend, +18134.9% 416.4 198.0 57.8 34.0 216.1 1120.1 -28.5 -19.5 -1.8 -3.0 -2.3 ·
P/S 7-point trend, +1303.5% · · 8.2 4.8 · · · 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6
P/B 7-point trend, +518.1% · · 12.6 8.7 · · · 0.8 0.8 0.5 1.9 2.0
P / Tangible Book 5-point trend, +98.3% 20.6 17.9 12.7 8.8 · 10.4 · · · · · ·
P / Cash Flow 7-point trend, +283.7% · · 59.7 26.5 · · · 1.8 -57.8 -18.6 -4.0 -32.5
P / FCF 7-point trend, +10109.9% · · 181.6 51.5 · · · -1310.6 -1.0 -1.6 -1.0 -1.8
Earnings Yield 11-point trend, +100.6% 0.24% 0.51% 1.7% 2.9% 0.46% 0.09% -3.5% -5.1% -57.0% -32.9% -43.3% ·

Financial Statements Income statement, balance sheet, cash flow — annual, last 5 years

Income Statement
2025-12-312024-12-312023-12-312022-12-312021-12-31
Revenue $94.83B$97.69B$96.77B$81.46B$53.82B
Gross Margin % 18.2%25.6%
Operating Margin % 9.2%16.8%
Net Income $3.79B$7.09B$15.00B$12.56B$5.52B
Diluted EPS $1.08$2.04$4.30$3.62$1.63
Balance Sheet
2025-12-312024-12-312023-12-312022-12-312021-12-31
Current Ratio 1.71.5
Quick Ratio 1.10.9
Cash Flow
2025-12-312024-12-312023-12-312022-12-312021-12-31
Free Cash Flow $4.36B$7.57B

TSLA AI Analyst Panel — Bullish and Bearish Views 2026Q2 debate: Claude, Grok, Gemini, ChatGPT on the stock's prospects

Round 1 — Opening Takes

Grok NEUTRAL 0.75
↑ Bullish

I see the bull case hinging on Tesla successfully launching robotaxis, turning its AI edge into a high-margin service that dwarfs its car sales. Recent price action backs this, with shares surging from $230 on April 25 to $313 last week, reflecting investor bets on autonomy. P/S TTM at 15.6, up from 11.3 in Q3 2025, signals the market pricing in explosive revenue growth from fleets. Current ratio of 2.07 provides ample liquidity to fund this pivot without dilution.

↓ Bearish

My bear case rests on Tesla's fading auto profitability unable to support its nosebleed valuation amid rising competition. P/E TTM at 284x dwarfs GM's 25.6x, meaning Tesla must grow earnings exponentially just to catch up—any miss crushes the multiple. ROE TTM down to 6.9% trails even GM's 4.2%, showing poor capital efficiency on that $1.5 trillion market cap. Debt/equity at 9.63 exposes balance sheet risk if EV demand softens further.

Claude NEUTRAL 0.62
↑ Bullish

Tesla's valuation collapse from $357 to $313 in six weeks has priced in near-total failure of the robotaxi bet, but the core automotive business remains profitable and the optionality on autonomous driving is real. The P/E of 284 looks insane until you remember Tesla trades on growth multiple, not earnings multiple — the market is pricing in a transformational AI business, not a car company. If robotaxi even partially works, today's price is a steal. Gross margin holding at 17% despite price wars shows pricing power remains. The real question is whether the market has overcorrected on the downside.

↓ Bearish

Tesla's fundamentals are quietly deteriorating while the stock price suggests nothing has changed. EPS fell from $1.73 to $1.50 year-over-year, and net margin compressed 103 basis points to 5.51% — that is not the profile of a company pulling away from competition. The P/E of 284 is not a discount; it is a confession that the market has no earnings anchor and is purely betting on robotaxi as a binary event. Meanwhile, Uber just committed $10 billion to robotaxi with Lucid, and the NAACP lawsuit against Musk's xAI signals regulatory headwinds. Debt-to-equity of 9.6x is dangerous leverage for a company whose margin is compressing. If robotaxi delays or fails, there is no valuation floor.

Gemini NEUTRAL 0.85
↑ Bullish

Tesla remains the only pure-play leader in the autonomous vehicle space, and if they successfully scale their robotaxi network, the current valuation will look like a bargain. The company maintains a robust current ratio of 2.06. This means Tesla has more than two dollars in liquid assets for every dollar of short-term debt, providing a massive cushion to fund its capital-intensive AI ambitions. Investors are betting that this liquidity will bridge the gap between today's automotive margins and the high-margin software future that the market is currently pricing into the stock.

↓ Bearish

The current valuation is untethered from the company's actual ability to generate profit in the near term. Tesla trades at a steep 283.9 times trailing earnings. This multiple suggests that investors are paying a massive premium for future growth that has yet to materialize in the bottom line. Furthermore, the return on equity has slipped to 6.9%. This indicates that management is struggling to generate efficient returns on the capital shareholders have provided, making the current share price difficult to justify based on existing operational performance.

Chatgpt NEUTRAL 0.52
↑ Bullish

I think TSLA's strongest bullish case in 2026Q2 is that its AI-driven robotaxi ecosystem could deliver durable, recurring revenue well beyond hardware cycles. 52-week range sits roughly between $222 and $367. If the robotaxi and software network hit profitability, this volatility could resolve in a meaningful re-rating. Market cap is around $1.50 trillion. Scale supports aggressive AI investments and ecosystem partnerships that could unlock new monetization streams. P/E TTM stands about 284. That reflects sky-high growth expectations; if execution matches, the premium may be deserved.

↓ Bearish

I think the strongest bearish case is that today’s price already prices in outsized growth that may not materialize if AI monetization stalls. P/E TTM is around 284. That premium is vulnerable to earnings misses or slower monetization. Net margin is 5.51%. That indicates profits could struggle to translate top-line strength into durable cash flow if costs rise. Debt/Equity is about 9.63x. That leverage heightens downside risk if cash flow weakens or big capex needs accelerate.

Round 2 — Responses & Rebuttals

Grok

Claude, your claim that gross margin holding at 17% shows pricing power misses the profitability erosion beneath it. Net margin down to 5.51% means price wars and cost pressures are eating into the bottom line, turning stable topline into shrinking profits despite high volume. That doesn't support a transformational growth story—it's a car company defending share at any cost, with robotaxi still a speculative bet.

Claude

I need to push back on Grok here. You said ROE of 6.9% trails GM's 4.2%, but that math is backwards — Tesla's 6.9% is actually higher than GM's 4.2%. More importantly, you're comparing apples to rotting fruit. GM's ROE is depressed because the legacy auto business is structurally challenged; Tesla's 6.9% is low *for Tesla*, down from 8.2% last year, which is the real warning sign. The deterioration matters more than the peer comparison. That's where the margin compression story lives.

Gemini

Claude, your point about Tesla’s pricing power is undermined by the current gross margin of 17.01%. This metric represents the percentage of revenue remaining after accounting for direct production costs, and at this level, it suggests the company is still heavily reliant on aggressive discounting to move inventory. You characterize this as proof of pricing power, but I see it as a defensive necessity in a crowded market. When you pair that thin margin with a 284 P/E, the stock is essentially priced for perfection while the underlying business is fighting a margin war.

Chatgpt

Grok, your bull case rests on Tesla monetizing robotaxis, but the market already prices that into the stock. P/S 15.6x is elevated. That implies investors expect rapid software/AI revenue growth that may not show up in 2026. If auto margins stay under pressure and robotaxi timelines slip, the multiple could re-rate quickly. That leaves near-term risk tied to execution and funding AI bets rather than car demand alone.

Round 3 — Final Rebuttals

G
Grok

Panel, the robotaxi narrative everyone is debating ignores Uber's aggressive counterpunch. On April 17, Uber committed $10 billion to robotaxis via an expanded deal with Lucid, leveraging its massive ride-hailing network against Tesla's unproven FSD. This funded rival erodes Tesla's moat just as P/E sits at 284x, meaning execution must be flawless or the multiple implodes. Claude, even if margins stabilize, competition like this caps the upside.

C
Claude

I want to push back on something ChatGPT said that nobody challenged: that the P/S of 15.6x is 'elevated' and implies rapid software revenue growth. But here's the thing — Tesla's P/S has actually *risen* from 11.3x in Q3 2025 to 15.6x today, while EPS fell from $1.73 to $1.50 over the same period. That's not the market pricing in robotaxi upside; that's the market repricing Tesla as a lower-margin, lower-growth business. The multiple expansion despite earnings compression is the real red flag. It suggests institutional money is rotating into Tesla on momentum, not fundamentals. That's a crowded trade waiting to unwind.

G
Gemini

I want to challenge a point Claude made earlier regarding the robotaxi 'optionality' being a steal at these levels. The real threat here is the regulatory environment, specifically the mounting pressure from the NAACP lawsuit against xAI regarding environmental compliance. This is not just a nuisance; it threatens the data center infrastructure required to train the FSD models that underpin the entire robotaxi thesis. If Tesla faces localized or federal permitting delays for its AI training clusters, the 'optionality' Claude mentions evaporates. We are looking at a company with a 9.6 debt-to-equity ratio, meaning they have nearly ten dollars of debt for every dollar of equity, leaving them with zero room for operational gridlock.

C
Chatgpt

Grok, your bull case rests on a high revenue multiple that may be too optimistic. Metric: P/S TTM 15.6x. Explanation: That high multiple means investors are pricing in revenue growth far beyond what Tesla has proven in the near term. Another risk is any delay or cost creep in robotaxi, which would compress multiples and hit earnings. If auto margins stay under pressure or the robotaxi rollout stalls, the stock can re-rate to align with cash-flow realities.

Price Forecasts

Model 3M Target 6M Target Reasoning
G Grok 3M Target $255.00 6M Target $225.00 Reasoning I believe Tesla's frothy valuation will deflate as auto margins erode further and robotaxi hype meets competition reality, driving shares below $250 in 3 months and $225 in 6. The catalyst pushing to my 6-month target is Q2 2026 earnings in late July, likely showing net margin below 5.51% from price wars. The key risk breaking this is an early robotaxi pilot success with regulatory approval, sparking a short squeeze. P/E TTM at 284x means any earnings stall forces a brutal multiple contraction, unlike GM's sustainable 26x.
C Claude 3M Target $268.00 6M Target $295.00 Reasoning Tesla is a momentum trade masquerading as a growth story — the P/S expanded from 11.3x to 15.6x while EPS fell 13%, which is institutional rotation into a crowded narrative, not fundamental improvement. My 3-month target reflects near-term unwind as robotaxi timelines slip and margin compression becomes undeniable; the 6-month assumes partial stabilization if Q2 earnings beat whisper numbers. The real catalyst is Tesla's next earnings call — if net margin stays below 5.5% and management guides robotaxi revenue to 2027 or later, the 284 P/E collapses to 120–150x. The kill-shot risk is Uber's $10B Lucid partnership proving viable before Tesla ships meaningful FSD revenue, eroding the moat entirely. At 284x earnings with 6.9% ROE, Tesla is pricing in a software business that doesn't yet exist, backed by deteriorating auto fundamentals and 9.6x leverage — that math breaks if execution slips even one quarter.
G Gemini 3M Target $240.00 6M Target $215.00 Reasoning My thesis is that Tesla’s current valuation is a speculative bubble that will deflate as the market shifts focus from AI hype back to the reality of cooling automotive demand. The catalyst for a decline is the 2026Q2 earnings release, where I expect continued margin compression to force a reality check on the stock's astronomical valuation. The primary risk is a breakthrough in FSD regulatory approval, which could trigger a short squeeze. With a P/E of 283.9, investors are paying for decades of growth that the company is currently failing to deliver, and as the market realizes that earnings are actually shrinking, the multiple must contract.
C Chatgpt 3M Target $300.00 6M Target $320.00 Reasoning I think TSLA will likely drift in a wide range around current levels in the coming months, awaiting clarity on robotaxi monetization. Catalyst: a concrete earnings print that defines unit economics for robotaxi revenue and cost structure. Risk: regulatory headwinds and intensified competition could derail upside if margins deteriorate. P/E TTM ~284 means the market is pricing years of earnings growth into Tesla; if actual profits disappoint, multiple compression could cap upside.

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