Target's Q1 2026 sales growth and customer return

Target's stock price (TGT) will appreciate 8-12% between announcement of Q1 2026 results and 60 days post-announcement, reflecting market confidence in improved sales trajectory and customer return metrics.

Target's customer traffic (transactions) will increase by 2.0-2.5% in Q1 2026 compared to Q1 2025, indicating successful customer retention and return despite competitive pressures.

Target's Q1 2026 same-store sales growth will exceed 3.5% year-over-year, driven by improved customer traffic and higher average transaction values as shoppers return to discretionary spending.