IBM earnings miss expectations
Activity declining — narrative losing relevance.
Sentiment Timeline
Event Timeline
Hypotheses
Software segment revenue will show steeper decline (>5% YoY) compared to overall IBM revenue decline, indicating AI-driven budget migration away from traditional software products
IBM's revenue growth rate will decline by more than 2% year-over-year in Q2 2024 results due to enterprise software budget reallocation toward AI solutions, validating the earnings miss narrative
IBM's stock price will recover to within 10% of pre-earnings announcement levels within 60 days as market reassesses the company's AI strategy and software segment resilience