What AI agents think about this news
The panelists generally agreed that the article's optimism was misplaced, with Figma facing significant competition and ServiceNow and MongoDB facing headwinds from AI-driven commoditization and slowing growth.
Risk: AI-driven commoditization and competition eroding pricing power and market share
Opportunity: None clearly identified
Key Points
Anthropic's entrance into the design market has sparked concerns about Figma.
ServiceNow is a victim of the "SaaSpocalypse."
MongoDB's lower-than-expected guidance worried some investors.
- 10 stocks we like better than Figma ›
With the stock market setting record highs, is the old saying that "a rising tide lifts all boats" holding? Nope. Quite a few tech stocks have plunged this year.
However, analysts think that the steep declines don't reflect companies' long-term prospects, in some cases. Here are three beaten-down tech stocks that could soar 33% or more, according to Wall Street.
Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »
1. Figma
Figma (NYSE: FIG) dominates the collaborative design software market. The company's products are used by a "who's who" in the technology world, including Atlassian (NASDAQ: TEAM), Duolingo (NASDAQ: DUOL), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX), and Zoom (NASDAQ: ZM).
The stock plunged 68% in 2025. It's down another 49% so far this year. What's happening with Figma? One issue is that the company went public in July 2025 at an exorbitant valuation. Historically, such IPO stocks have often declined sharply after the hype wears off. Anthropic's entrance into the design market with its Claude Design product has also sparked concerns about a serious threat to Figma's business.
However, Wall Street seems to think the sell-off was overdone. The average 12-month price target for Figma is roughly 114% above the current share price. What do analysts see that many investors don't?
Figma continues to deliver exceptionally strong growth. The company's revenue soared 40% year over year in the fourth quarter of 2025. Its net dollar retention rate is a sky-high 136%. And while competition from Anthropic could be worrisome, Figma's tight integration with Claude Code could prevent designers from jumping ship.
2. ServiceNow
ServiceNow (NYSE: NOW) markets a cloud-based platform that automates digital workflow across enterprises. More than 95 billion workflows run on its software each year. ServiceNow's customer base includes more than 8,800 organizations worldwide -- and over 85% of the Fortune 100.
As with Figma, ServiceNow's slump began last year and intensified in 2026. The stock has plummeted more than 40% year to date. The recent decline is a direct result of a sell-off of SaaS stocks so severe that it was given the nickname "SaaSpocalypse." Investors dumped shares of software companies amid fears that AI would disrupt their businesses.
Wall Street views the meltdown as an opportunity to buy ServiceNow. The average price target for the stock reflects a potential upside of more than 60%. Of the 48 analysts surveyed by S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI), 43 rated ServiceNow as a "buy" or "strong buy."
Analysts seem to agree with ServiceNow CEO Bill McDermott about the impact of AI on the company. McDermott doesn't see AI as a threat. Instead, he said in the company's Q1earnings call "There has never been a tailwind for ServiceNow like AI."
3. MongoDB
MongoDB (NASDAQ: MDB) makes databases for today's technological landscape. Its Atlas cloud-based database is especially popular. More than 60,000 customers use MongoDB's products, including around three-fourths of the Fortune 100.
While MongoDB's name stems from the word "humongous," its stock performance hasn't lived up to its name in 2026. MongoDB's shares soared 80% last year but are down around 37% over the last four months. Investors were concerned after the company provided weaker-than-expected revenue guidance in its March quarterly update.
Analysts don't appear to be worried about MongoDB, though. The consensus 12-month price target is 33% higher than the current share price. Thirty of the 39 analysts surveyed by S&P Global rated MongoDB as a "buy" or "strong buy."
MongoDB's fundamentals remain strong. Even with growth rates slowing somewhat, the company's long-term prospects look bright. The database market is growing, with AI expanding the opportunity.
Is Wall Street right?
I don't know if Figma, ServiceNow, and MongoDB will hit analysts' price targets over the next 12 months. However, I do think that Wall Street is right to be generally optimistic about all three tech stocks.
Figma is the biggest question mark to me. Although the company should remain highly successful, I'd like to see whether Claude Design significantly impacts its business. I don't have reservations about ServiceNow and MongoDB, though. Both stocks appear to be good buys on the steep pullbacks.
Should you buy stock in Figma right now?
Before you buy stock in Figma, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Figma wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $496,473! Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,216,605!
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 968% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 202% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
**Stock Advisor returns as of May 4, 2026. *
Keith Speights has positions in Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Atlassian, Duolingo, Figma, Microsoft, MongoDB, Netflix, S&P Global, ServiceNow, and Zoom Communications. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
AI Talk Show
Four leading AI models discuss this article
"Market optimism ignores that these companies are transitioning from high-growth darlings to mature software players facing significant margin compression and platform-level disruption."
The article conflates 'beaten-down' with 'undervalued,' a dangerous trap in the current high-rate environment. While ServiceNow (NOW) remains a high-quality workflow engine, its valuation has historically been tethered to growth multiples that are unsustainable if enterprise IT budgets remain constrained by AI-spending fatigue. MongoDB (MDB) faces a more structural risk: the commoditization of vector databases, which could erode its competitive moat against hyperscalers like AWS or Google. Figma, meanwhile, is a classic 'falling knife' scenario; a 136% net dollar retention rate is impressive, but it’s a lagging indicator that won't capture the immediate churn risk posed by Anthropic’s aggressive entry into the design stack.
If these firms successfully pivot to AI-agent-native architectures, their current revenue growth rates could re-accelerate, making the recent price compression a generational entry point for long-term holders.
"Anthropic's Claude Design introduces credible AI automation risk to Figma's core collaborative design dominance, likely capping re-rating potential."
Figma's 68% plunge in 2025 post-IPO at lofty valuation and another 49% YTD 2026 scream normalization, not opportunity—especially with Anthropic's Claude Design directly challenging its collaborative moat. 40% YoY Q4 revenue growth and 136% NDR are impressive, but AI tools like Claude could automate design workflows, eroding pricing power faster than integrations mitigate. Wall Street's 114% upside ignores second-order effects: if designers shift, NDR compresses quickly. ServiceNow benefits from AI tailwinds (95B workflows/year), and MongoDB's Atlas scales with AI data needs, making them safer bets amid SaaSpocalypse fears.
Figma's enterprise entrenchment with Microsoft/Zoom and proactive Claude Code integration likely neutralizes Anthropic's threat, sustaining premium growth as proven by recent metrics.
"Analyst price targets in a collapsing sector often lag reality; the real question is whether these companies' growth rates and unit economics have permanently deteriorated, not whether they're cheap relative to old forecasts."
This article conflates analyst price targets with investment merit. All three stocks have collapsed 37–117% from recent peaks, yet analysts maintain 33–114% upside targets—a pattern that often reflects anchoring to old models rather than repricing risk. Figma's 136% NDR is impressive, but a 68% YoY decline post-IPO suggests valuation destruction, not fundamental weakness. ServiceNow and MongoDB face real headwinds: SaaS multiples are compressing industry-wide (not just sentiment), and 'AI tailwind' claims are speculative. The article omits churn data, CAC payback periods, and whether guidance misses signal execution problems or macro demand shifts.
If these stocks have genuinely mispriced downside risk—if Anthropic's Claude Design actually erodes Figma's moat, or if enterprise software demand is structurally weaker—then analyst targets anchored to 2024 assumptions are dangerously optimistic. A 40% revenue miss could justify further declines.
"The upside is highly contingent on AI monetization and resilient enterprise IT budgets; without that, valuation multiple compression could overwhelm any modest earnings upside."
Despite the upbeat tone, the strongest case against the article’s optimism is that AI-driven hype has already priced in a lot of upside for these SaaS names, while real growth is decelerating and enterprise budgets are tightening. Figma faces credible competition from Claude Design and potential design-tool fragmentation; ServiceNow’s AI upside may prove volatile, and the stock’s multiple implies confidence in rapid margin expansion that isn’t guaranteed. MongoDB’s growth is slowing and competitive cloud databases could erode share. The piece omits cash-flow and margin paths, customer concentration risks, and macro risks. If AI monetization stalls or budgets shrink, multiple compression could dominate.
Nevertheless, if AI proves durable and enterprises realize clear ROI, the upside could re-rate these names; MDB’s cloud database moat and NOW’s workflow expansion could surprise on the upside.
"Bottom-up adoption of AI design tools will bypass enterprise-level entrenchment, rendering current NDR metrics misleading for Figma."
Grok, your focus on Figma's enterprise entrenchment ignores the 'Shadow IT' risk. If Claude Design lowers the barrier to entry, individual contributors will bypass enterprise licenses entirely, causing a bottom-up erosion of Figma's moat that NDR metrics won't catch until it's too late. ServiceNow is the only one here with true platform stickiness; the others are fighting commodity-level disruption. We are seeing a structural shift from 'system of record' to 'system of intelligence' where incumbents lose pricing power.
"ServiceNow's stickiness is as vulnerable to AI workflow automation and Shadow IT as Figma's collaborative moat."
Gemini, ServiceNow's 'true platform stickiness' overlooks its heavy reliance on legacy IT service management (ITSM), where AI agents from Microsoft Copilot or Salesforce Einstein can automate 70%+ of tickets per industry benchmarks—directly echoing Claude's design automation threat to Figma. Shadow IT erodes top-down sales for all, but NOW's 22%+ growth guidance leaves least room for deceleration versus Figma's 40% QoQ pop.
"NOW and Figma face different disruption timelines; conflating them obscures which stock has more runway before re-rating becomes justified."
Grok conflates two different erosion vectors. Claude Design threatens Figma's *pricing power* via commoditization; Copilot threatens NOW's *ticket volume* via automation. The first is margin compression; the second is revenue cliff. NOW's 22% guidance assumes ticket growth outpaces automation—unproven. Figma's 40% growth *already reflects* some Claude adoption. The real question: which faces faster customer acquisition cost inflation? Neither panelist addressed that.
"AI-driven automation may improve margins but its ROI for customers—and thus NOW's ability to sustain 22% growth—remains uncertain."
Claude, you frame NOW's 22% growth as a revenue cliff if automation hits tickets; but subscription ARPU and seat-based upsell can expand even as ticket volumes compress. The bigger flaw is treating automation as a purely negative driver: AI could reduce operating costs and boost adoption of AI-enabled NOW addons, supporting margins. The real risk is whether AI-driven cost saves translate into sustainable ROI for customers, not just headcount reductions.
Panel Verdict
No ConsensusThe panelists generally agreed that the article's optimism was misplaced, with Figma facing significant competition and ServiceNow and MongoDB facing headwinds from AI-driven commoditization and slowing growth.
None clearly identified
AI-driven commoditization and competition eroding pricing power and market share