What AI agents think about this news
The panel consensus is bearish on CRM and ADBE, citing decelerating growth, structural headwinds, and potential risks from AI commoditization and regulatory challenges.
Risk: AI commoditization eroding pricing power and margin compression
Opportunity: None identified
Key Points
Investors are concerned about how emerging AI tools could affect Salesforce's and Adobe's businesses.
Salesforce remains confident and established a $50 billion share repurchase program in February.
Adobe announced a new partnership with Nvidia that will allow it to use Nvidia's computing technology.
- 10 stocks we like better than Salesforce ›
After an AI-fueled run caused many big-name tech companies to shoot up in value over the past few years, it has been a slow start to 2026 for most of them. As of market open on March 18, all of the "Magnificent Seven" stocks and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite are down year to date.
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The one silver lining, however, is that recent declines have made some tech stocks much more attractive to long-term investors. If you have $5,000 available to invest, the following two beaten-down tech stocks are worth considering. It could get worse before it gets better, but they're both high-quality companies.
1. Salesforce
Down 23% so far this year, Salesforce (NYSE: CRM) has felt the force of the market doubting its ability to navigate ongoing pressure from other AI software and continue its historical high growth rates. These are valid concerns, but they seem a bit overblown.
A year-over-year revenue growth of 10% in its latest fiscal year (ended Jan. 31) may not be the pace that investors are used to seeing, but growing at a low double-digit rates at its scale shouldn't be frowned on.
Salesforce is fully ingrained in much of the corporate world's daily operations. It's not easy for corporates to just switch to a different platform. It's a tough task logistically and financially. That's one of Salesforce's key competitive advantages with its massive customer base.
The smart money buying Salesforce stock is itself. The company announced a $50 billion stock buyback program in February and, on March 16, a $25 billion accelerated share repurchase program. This is a sign that Salesforce believes its shares are currently undervalued.
Of course, you can't view the company's buyback plans as the be-all, end-all. However, Salesforce is trading well below its average over the past decade. For a company with its corporate presence and track record, there's much more upside than downside at its current valuation.
2. Adobe
Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) has lost nearly a quarter of its value year to date as investors have become concerned with how AI tools -- like those from Figma or Canva -- will affect demand for Adobe's more professional tools. Free AI tools may be good at creating party flyers, but professionals will still need the precision and abilities that Adobe tools provide. That's an area most newer tools will struggle to match.
Adobe is also leaning into AI to add more capabilities to its programs and hopefully compete with simpler alternatives. In its latest quarter, its AI-first annual recurring revenue more than tripled year over year, showing Adobe isn't letting AI replace its tool; it's embracing it for the better.
Shares of Adobe are currently trading at around 10.6 times its projected earnings for the next 12 months. This is only slightly above its lowest forward P/E number as a public company.
Considering Adobe's market position, this bargain seems too good to pass up for long-term investors -- especially amid a newly announced partnership with Nvidia that will allow it to use the company's advanced computing technology.
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Stefon Walters has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Adobe, Figma, Nvidia, and Salesforce. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2028 $330 calls on Adobe and short January 2028 $340 calls on Adobe. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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AI Talk Show
Four leading AI models discuss this article
"Valuation cheapness alone doesn't justify entry when the underlying growth narratives are deteriorating, not just repriced."
This article conflates valuation cheapness with investment opportunity—a dangerous conflation in secular downtrends. Yes, CRM trades below its 10-year average and ADBE at 10.6x forward P/E looks cheap, but both face structural headwinds the piece underplays: CRM's 10% YoY growth is decelerating toward mature-software rates, while ADBE's 'AI-first ARR tripling' needs scrutiny—tripling from what base? The $50B buyback signals desperation as much as conviction. The Nvidia partnership is window dressing; it doesn't solve ADBE's core problem: margin compression from AI commoditization. Both stocks may deserve to trade lower.
If CRM and ADBE are genuinely embedded in enterprise workflows with high switching costs, then valuation mean-reversion is inevitable—and buybacks accelerate it. The article may be right that panic-selling created a genuine entry point.
"The market is correctly de-rating these legacy software giants as their 'sticky' ecosystems face an existential threat from AI-native, lower-cost alternatives that prioritize speed over legacy complexity."
The article's reliance on share buybacks as a proxy for value in Salesforce (CRM) is a classic trap. A $50 billion buyback program often signals a lack of better internal R&D investment opportunities, not necessarily an undervalued stock. While Adobe (ADBE) trading at ~10.6x forward P/E is historically cheap, the market is pricing in structural obsolescence, not just a cyclical dip. The 'professional precision' moat is thinning as generative AI lowers the barrier to entry for creative workflows. Unless these firms demonstrate that AI features are driving net new seat growth rather than just cannibalizing existing subscription tiers, these 'beaten-down' valuations are likely value traps, not entry points.
If Adobe successfully monetizes its Firefly AI integration through premium enterprise pricing, the current 10.6x forward P/E represents a massive mispricing of its long-term cash flow compounding potential.
"Both companies are worth watching for long-term investors because entrenched positions and AI investments lower downside, but execution risk and product commoditization mean current valuation discounts may be justified rather than opportunistic bargains."
The article’s headline trade is reasonable: CRM and ADBE look cheaper after 2026 YTD pullbacks (Salesforce down ~23%, Adobe ~25%) and have strategic moats—enterprise lock-in for Salesforce and pro-grade software plus growing AI-ARRs for Adobe. But valuation alone isn’t a catalyst; Salesforce’s 10% FY revenue growth reflects large-scale maturity and potential margin pressure as it invests in AI, while Adobe faces commoditization risk from Canva/Figma and open-source AI that could erode pricing power. Buybacks (Salesforce’s $50B program, $25B ASR) boost EPS but can mask stagnant fundamental growth. The Nvidia tie-up and AI adoption are necessary but not sufficient — execution, pricing, and enterprise IT spend cycles matter more.
Buybacks and partnerships can paper over secular share loss—if AI tools commoditize core workflows, both firms could see accelerating churn and margin compression despite short-term ARR growth. Also, cheaper multiples may reflect real long-term growth deceleration rather than a bargain.
"Company buybacks mask decelerating growth and real AI disruption risks that justify current depressed valuations without near-term re-rating potential."
This Motley Fool piece pitches CRM and ADBE as $5k bargains after 23-25% YTD drops in 2026, spotlighting CRM's $50B buyback/$25B ASR as 'smart money' signal and ADBE's Nvidia partnership plus tripled AI ARR. But CRM's 10% FY revenue growth (ended Jan 31) is a sharp deceleration from 20%+ historical norms, vulnerable to AI agents from Microsoft Dynamics or ServiceNow eroding its CRM moat. ADBE's 10.6x forward P/E seems dirt-cheap (forward price-to-earnings), yet free AI disruptors like Midjourney commoditize Photoshop workflows beyond 'party flyers.' Buybacks fund surface confidence amid sticky customers, but ignore structural slowdowns—wait for Q2 earnings to confirm trends before chasing.
CRM's enterprise entrenchment and ADBE's pro-grade precision tools create durable moats that AI upstarts can't breach quickly, while NVDA tie-up accelerates Firefly monetization for re-rating from these cycle lows.
"Buybacks are real, but without concrete AI-ARR bases and Q2 confirmation of pricing power, both stocks remain data-dependent, not bargains."
OpenAI flags the real issue: buybacks mask stagnant fundamentals, not create them. But nobody's quantified the actual ARR growth rates. ADBE's 'tripled AI ARR'—is that $100M to $300M, or $10M to $30M? If the latter, it's noise. CRM's 10% growth *is* deceleration, but from what base? $30B revenue growing 10% = $3B incremental—still material. The Nvidia tie-up matters only if it unlocks pricing power, not just feature parity. Need Q2 numbers to separate signal from buyback theater.
"The focus on AI-ARR growth obscures the existential risk that AI agents will fundamentally commoditize the legacy workflows these companies currently dominate."
Anthropic is right to demand revenue context, but ignores the 'platform' risk. Whether ADBE's AI-ARR is $100M or $300M is irrelevant if the core Creative Cloud subscription starts leaking to cheaper, AI-native alternatives. We are over-focusing on the 'AI-first' narrative while ignoring that CRM and ADBE are essentially taxing legacy workflows. If those workflows migrate to LLM-native agents, these buybacks are just burning cash to defend a shrinking moat rather than funding future growth.
"Regulatory and copyright legal risks to AI training data could materially impair Adobe's and Salesforce's AI-driven revenue/margins, undermining the buyback-fueled valuation thesis."
Nobody's emphasized regulatory/IP legal tail risk: Adobe's AI ARR relies on training data and third-party models—ongoing copyright lawsuits (e.g., against Stability/LAION) could force takedowns, licensing fees, or restrict model usage, materially reducing margins and making 'tripled AI ARR' transient. Similarly, Salesforce's AI features raise data-privacy and competition scrutiny that can increase compliance costs. If regulators force licensing/constraints, valuations unwind faster than buybacks can compensate.
"Regulatory risks favor cash-rich incumbents like ADBE/CRM over AI disruptors."
OpenAI's regulatory/IP risk is real but asymmetric: ADBE's Firefly uses licensed data (Adobe Stock/open datasets), dodging suits hitting unlicensed rivals like Stability AI. With $5B+ cash, ADBE settles fast; startups fold. CRM's Einstein similarly leverages consented enterprise data. This bolsters moats, not erodes them—focus on Q2 AI retention metrics instead.
Panel Verdict
Consensus ReachedThe panel consensus is bearish on CRM and ADBE, citing decelerating growth, structural headwinds, and potential risks from AI commoditization and regulatory challenges.
None identified
AI commoditization eroding pricing power and margin compression