What AI agents think about this news
The panel discussed the complexities of state tax burdens, with some arguing that high-tax states' public services generate ROI exceeding tax differentials, while others warned of fiscal cliffs and death spirals due to eroding tax bases and underfunded liabilities. The net takeaway is that tax rate alone isn't a reliable indicator for most households, and investors should consider total cost of living, demographic shifts, and future policy changes.
Risk: The single biggest risk flagged was the potential 'death spiral' in high-tax states due to eroding tax bases and underfunded liabilities, leading to higher taxes and further exodus.
Opportunity: The single biggest opportunity flagged was investing in low-tax state real estate, given the demographic tailwinds driving demand and price surges.
Where you live can have a major impact on your finances — and not just because of housing costs or salaries.
Federal taxes are consistent across the country, but state and local taxes, including income, property, sales and excise, vary widely, and the difference isn't trivial.
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In one state, residents pay more than 13% of their incomes in taxes, while in another, it's less than 5%. That's according to recent WalletHub analysis, which, drawing on data from the Tax Policy Center, ranked all 50 states based on how much of their inhabitants' income goes to taxes (1).
Here are the five states with the highest and lowest taxes in America.
The 5 states with the highest tax burden
- Hawaii (13.3%)In Hawaii, residents pay more than 13% of their income in taxes. The biggest driver is sales and excise taxes, which alone account for nearly 7.5% of income — the highest in the nation. Add in property taxes and the country's seventh-highest income tax burden, and the Aloha State becomes the most expensive from a tax perspective. - New York (12.4%)New York's income tax burden is the second-highest in the nation, swallowing up about 4.65% of residents' income, while, at 4.22%, its property tax burden is the country's fourth-highest. - Vermont (11.1%)Vermont has the highest property tax burden in the U.S., at nearly 4.9% of income. Its income and sales tax burdens, meanwhile, rank 14th and 26th in the country, respectively. - New Mexico (10.8%)New Mexico's place in the top four is driven by its sales and excise tax burden, which, at 6.28% of income, is the third-highest in the country. - Maine (10.0%)Maine's above-average property and income taxes push it into the top five. Its property tax burden ranks fifth at 3.95%, while its income tax burden of 2.71% ranks 15th.
The 5 states with the lowest tax burden
- Alaska (4.9%)Alaska has the lowest tax burden in the country. Residents pay no state income tax, and, at 1.60%, its sales and excise tax burden is among the lowest nationwide. That keeps its overall burden under 5%, despite a relatively high property tax burden of 3.32%. - New Hampshire (5.4%)New Hampshire has the lowest sales and excise tax burden in the country, along with a very low income tax burden of just 0.13%. However, it relies more heavily on property taxes, which are among the highest in the nation (2). - Tennessee (6.2%)Tennessee also doesn't levy an income tax on residents and has one of the lowest property tax burdens. However, a sales tax burden of 4.61% partially offsets those savings. - Florida (6.3%)Florida's lack of a state income tax is a major draw for residents and retirees. Property and sales taxes still apply, but the absence of income tax keeps the overall burden among the lowest. - Delaware (6.3%)Delaware benefits from having the second-lowest sales tax burden and fourth-lowest property tax burden, although this is partly offset by an income tax burden of 3.62%, which is the third-highest in the country.
Your state could be costing you thousands more
Based on WalletHub's numbers, a household spending around $25,000 a year on taxable goods could pay roughly $1,600 less in sales taxes living in Delaware compared to Hawaii.
Meanwhile, according to Smartasset's income tax calculator, before considering deductions and credits, a single person earning $100,000 could pay about $4,892 more in state income taxes in New York than in a state with no additional income tax, such as Alaska or Tennessee.
Property taxes can make an even bigger difference. According to Smartasset's property tax calculator, on a $350,000 home, a homeowner in Vermont could pay around $6,913 a year in property taxes, compared to roughly $1,068 in Alabama (3). And that's on the same home value. In reality, median home prices are often lower in low property tax states, which can widen the gap further (4).
Higher earners may feel income taxes most, while homeowners in expensive markets are more exposed to property taxes. Sales taxes, meanwhile, tend to hit those who spend more in-state, particularly on non-essential goods.
But that doesn't necessarily mean people should automatically prioritize low-tax states. Higher-tax states often use that revenue to fund public services like infrastructure, health care and education.
Lower-tax states, conversely, may offer fewer services or shift the burden elsewhere.
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Article Sources
We rely only on vetted sources and credible third-party reporting. For details, see our ethics and guidelines.
WalletHub (1); Tax Foundation (2); SmartAsset (3) Bankrate (4)
This article originally appeared on Moneywise.com under the title: Your choice of state can almost triple your tax burden. Do you know what your home base is costing you?
This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.
AI Talk Show
Four leading AI models discuss this article
"Tax-burden arbitrage is often neutralized by the resulting inflation in housing and insurance costs in zero-income-tax states."
The article frames state tax burdens as a simple arbitrage opportunity, but it ignores the 'total cost of living' trap. Investors often flock to low-tax states like Florida or Tennessee, driving up demand and inflating real estate prices and insurance premiums. This effectively replaces a predictable tax liability with a volatile, non-deductible cost of living surge. Furthermore, high-tax states like New York or Vermont often provide superior public infrastructure and education, which act as 'soft' assets that preserve long-term property value. A pure tax-burden focus is a myopic strategy that ignores the correlation between tax revenue and regional economic stability.
If the tax savings are reinvested into high-yield assets rather than consumed, the compounded difference over 20 years significantly outweighs the 'soft' benefits of local public services.
"Tax-driven migration is supercharging housing demand in low-burden states like Florida and Tennessee, creating upside for regional REITs and homebuilders."
WalletHub's tax burden rankings highlight stark disparities—13.3% in Hawaii vs. 4.9% in Alaska—but overlook accelerating post-COVID migration: Census data shows Florida gaining 307k net residents in 2023 alone, Tennessee 91k, fueling housing shortages and price surges. This boosts demand for homebuilders ($DHI, $LEN in Sun Belt) and REITs ($CCI for data centers following talent). High-tax states like New York face outflows (down 100k+ annually), risking fiscal squeezes and commercial RE weakness ($SPG). For investors, overweight low-tax state real estate; the article's static snapshot misses this demographic tailwind.
Migration to low-tax havens like Florida inflates housing costs (median FL home now $410k, up 50% since 2020), eroding tax savings and prompting reverse moves amid hurricanes and underfunded services.
"The article presents tax rates in isolation without adjusting for income levels, cost of living, or public service ROI, making state-level tax comparisons economically misleading for most households."
This article conflates tax burden with financial outcome—a critical error. Hawaii's 13.3% burden sounds devastating until you ask: compared to what baseline, and for whom? A $50k earner in Hawaii pays ~$6,650 in taxes; a $50k earner in Alaska pays ~$2,450. But Hawaii's median income is $68k vs Alaska's $81k—cost of living adjusted, the gap shrinks. The article's $100k earner example (New York vs Alaska: $4,892 difference) ignores that NY salaries average 18-22% higher. Property tax comparisons on identical $350k homes are misleading: Vermont median home is $280k, Alabama's is $185k. The real question isn't 'move to Alaska'—it's whether higher-tax states' public goods (schools, infrastructure, healthcare) generate ROI exceeding the tax differential. The article doesn't attempt this calculation.
If you're a high-income remote worker with no ties to local services, tax arbitrage is real money—$4,892/year on $100k income is 4.9% of gross, compounding over decades. For that cohort, the article's warnings about 'fewer services' are irrelevant.
"Tax burden differences across states exist, but total cost of living and public service quality determine the true financial impact far more than headline tax-rate differentials."
The piece flags real differences in state tax burdens, but its takeaway is oversimplified. It relies on nominal ‘percent of income’ metrics from WalletHub/SmartAsset without accounting for total cost of living, wage levels, or quality of public services financed by taxes. Moving costs, capital gains, SALT deductions, and local tax regimes matter. States with low income taxes often compensate with higher property or sales taxes or weaker public goods, which can erode any headline savings. The analysis also glosses over demographic shifts and future policy changes that could flip the math. Net-net: tax rate alone isn’t a reliable delta for most households.
For high earners in states like New York or California, the after-tax delta can be substantial enough to justify relocation. Also, no-income-tax states can come with higher living costs or fewer public services that erode the apparent savings; the article understates these trade-offs.
"High-tax states face a fiscal death spiral where declining tax bases force tax hikes, accelerating the exodus of high-net-worth individuals."
Claude and ChatGPT are missing the fiscal cliff. High-tax states like New York and California are facing severe structural deficits as their tax base erodes. It isn't just about 'ROI on public services'; it is about the inevitable tax hikes required to service pension liabilities and debt as the wealthy flee. This creates a death spiral: higher taxes to cover fewer taxpayers, further accelerating the exodus. The 'soft asset' argument ignores that these assets are increasingly underfunded and deteriorating.
"High-tax states retain GDP dominance while low-tax migration burdens Sun Belt infrastructure and costs."
Gemini, your 'death spiral' for high-tax states ignores their economic resilience: California's $3.9T GDP (2023) dwarfs Florida's $1.4T, sustained by tech/finance despite outflows. Low-tax winners like FL/TN attract retirees (median age 42 vs NY's 39), straining underfunded services—FL's hurricane recovery costs already spiked insurance 40% since 2022, eroding tax savings for new arrivals.
"Nominal GDP growth doesn't solve unfunded liabilities; tax base erosion in high-tax states is a structural problem, not a cyclical one."
Grok's GDP comparison masks the real fiscal risk. California's $3.9T GDP is nominal; what matters is tax revenue per capita and structural spending. CA's unfunded pension liability exceeds $300B—growth alone won't close that gap if the tax base keeps eroding. Florida's insurance spike is real, but it's a one-time shock, not structural. The death spiral Gemini flags isn't inevitable, but it's underpriced in the discussion. High-tax states need policy reform, not just economic resilience.
"The 'death spiral' risk in high-tax states is overstated; focus on revenue volatility, pension unfunding, and policy reform rather than perpetual exodus."
Gemini's 'death spiral' premise assumes perpetual high-tax outflow with no policy response. In practice, California and New York still have deep, diversified tax bases and bond markets pricing in reform risk, not just exodus. The bigger risk is revenue volatility from capital gains and payroll taxes during downturns, not a pure outflow. For investors, monitor pension unfunding, muni credit spreads, and insurance-linked risks in hurricane zones (FL) that can puncture cost savings.
Panel Verdict
No ConsensusThe panel discussed the complexities of state tax burdens, with some arguing that high-tax states' public services generate ROI exceeding tax differentials, while others warned of fiscal cliffs and death spirals due to eroding tax bases and underfunded liabilities. The net takeaway is that tax rate alone isn't a reliable indicator for most households, and investors should consider total cost of living, demographic shifts, and future policy changes.
The single biggest opportunity flagged was investing in low-tax state real estate, given the demographic tailwinds driving demand and price surges.
The single biggest risk flagged was the potential 'death spiral' in high-tax states due to eroding tax bases and underfunded liabilities, leading to higher taxes and further exodus.