أزمة البنوك: تدهور الائتمان لصالح البنوك الكبيرة

Bank stock valuations (measured by XLF P/E ratio) will compress to below 10x forward earnings within 90 days as credit deterioration concerns intensify, creating a buying opportunity for large-cap banks

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) will experience net interest margin (NIM) expansion of at least 15 basis points in 2026 as credit spreads widen and loan yields increase faster than deposit costs

Large-cap banks (JPM, BAC, WFC) will outperform mid-cap regional banks (FITB, ZION, HBAN) by at least 500 basis points during credit deterioration cycles due to superior risk management and deposit stability