What AI agents think about this news
Despite acknowledging the strengths of AMZN and AAPL, panelists express concerns about valuation, regulatory risks, and potential margin compression, leading to a neutral to bearish overall sentiment.
Risk: AI compute commoditization and enterprise price-sensitivity could structurally compress AWS margins
Opportunity: Custom silicon (Trainium, Graviton) could compress capex meaningfully for AMZN
Key Points
Amazon has continued to innovate and evolve behind the scenes, making it a stock to own for years.
Apple is one of the great compounding businesses of our time.
- These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires ›
The market has been on a bit of a scary ride to start the year. It started to trend down in early February amid fears about the sustainability of spending on artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure and the impact AI would have on various industries and jobs. The start of the war with Iran later in the month only added to the uncertainty.
However, the market rebounded nicely in April ahead of first-quarter earnings, on the hope that the war may soon end and signals that the economy still looks strong despite high gasoline prices. That said, investors should really look past all the near-term noise, both good and bad, and focus on great growth stocks that they can hold for decades.
Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »
Let's look at two stocks that can be core holdings over the long term.
Amazon: The e-commerce and cloud giant
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) is a well-known leader in e-commerce and cloud computing; however, its strengths and opportunities actually expand beyond these areas. What the company is doing behind the scenes and how it is constantly evolving are the biggest reasons you want to own the stock over the long run.
Amazon's e-commerce operations were built on what is now a vast logistics network. However, it doesn't stop there. The company is also a leader in artificial intelligence, automation, and robotics, all of which are driving huge efficiencies in its retail business. It is even now looking to take this to physical automated superstores that would compete with Walmart. The company is also using its platform to become one of the world's largest digital advertising platforms.
Meanwhile, the company's cloud computing unit, Amazon Web Services (AWS), is both its most profitable and fastest-growing segment. The company created the industry and remains the market share leader. What is often overlooked is that Amazon has also developed custom AI accelerators and custom central processing units (CPUs). It recently said that if its chips were just sold to third parties, this would be a $50 billion business, but right now, it's helping reduce capital expenditures (capex) and save on inference costs.
Amazon doesn't always get the credit it deserves, but this is a business built for the long haul. It's constantly looking to innovate, and is also making bets in the areas of satellite internet and drones. With the stock trading at a big discount to slower-growing brick-and-mortar peers like Walmart and Costco, it's a must-buy here for long-term investors.
Apple: The great compounder
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) is one of the great compounding businesses of our time. That is why famed investor Warren Buffett made it his top position when he ran Berkshire Hathaway's investment portfolio.
The company owns the high end of the smartphone market with the iPhone, and Apple today is much more about being a stylish, luxury brand than a company at the forefront of product innovation. However, this has drawn a very affluent customer base into a walled-garden ecosystem. This walled garden not only gives Apple customers a seamless, high-end experience but also helps lock them into its ecosystem. Every photo taken and stored on its devices or cloud network, and every subscription and app bought through its app store, just makes it harder for people to switch.
As such, Apple's high-end devices become a huge flywheel for its high-margin subscription and services segment. The more people who buy an iPhone or other Apple device, the more money is spent within its ecosystem. This also plays right into the Apple Pay digital wallet, which charges a 0.15% fee on every transaction on what is now trillions of dollars' worth of transactions. Apple also gets billions of dollars in pure profit from a revenue-sharing deal with Alphabet for Google to be the default search engine on its devices.
It is this great compounding business model that makes Apple a long-term buy, no matter what is going on in the world at the moment.
Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity
Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.
On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:
Nvidia:if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2009,you’d have $489,281!Apple:*if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008,you’d have $49,600!Netflix:if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004,you’d have $555,526!
Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, available when you join Stock Advisor, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.
**Stock Advisor returns as of April 14, 2026. *
Geoffrey Seiler has positions in Alphabet and Amazon. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, Costco Wholesale, and Walmart. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
AI Talk Show
Four leading AI models discuss this article
"The Google search default deal is AAPL's single largest unpriced risk — worth roughly $15-20B annually in near-pure profit — and this article doesn't mention it once despite framing Apple as a 'safe' long-term compounder."
This article is promotional fluff dressed as analysis — note the 'Double Down' subscription pitch embedded mid-article. That said, the underlying thesis on AMZN and AAPL isn't wrong, just incomplete. On AMZN: AWS at ~37% operating margins drives the entire profit story, and custom silicon (Trainium, Graviton) genuinely could compress capex meaningfully — the $50B chip valuation claim is plausible but speculative. On AAPL: the Google search deal (~$20B annually) is existential risk hiding in plain sight — DOJ antitrust pressure could eliminate it, and that's pure margin. The article also invents a 'war with Iran' as market context — I cannot verify this as a confirmed geopolitical event and readers should flag that framing carefully.
Apple's services growth is decelerating while its hardware replacement cycles lengthen, and a DOJ-forced unwinding of the Google default search deal could erase $15-20B in near-pure-profit revenue overnight. Amazon's retail segment remains structurally low-margin, and if AWS growth slows as hyperscaler capex scrutiny intensifies, the entire valuation thesis collapses.
"The article ignores that the high-margin 'moats' of both companies are currently facing their most significant legal and regulatory challenges in a decade."
The article presents a classic 'blue-chip' growth thesis, but it glosses over significant valuation and regulatory hurdles. Amazon's shift toward custom silicon (CPUs/AI accelerators) is a critical margin-protection play, but claiming it trades at a 'big discount' to Walmart is misleading; while its forward P/E may look attractive, Amazon's capital expenditure (capex) requirements for AI and satellite internet (Project Kuiper) are exponentially higher than retail peers. For Apple, the 'walled garden' is under unprecedented global regulatory assault. The 0.15% Apple Pay fee and the Google search revenue mentioned are currently targets of DOJ and EU antitrust litigation, which threatens the high-margin services flywheel the author relies upon for the 'compounding' thesis.
If the DOJ successfully unbundles Google from iOS or forces open the App Store, Apple's services margin—the primary driver of its premium valuation—could collapse regardless of brand loyalty.
"AMZN and AAPL have durable moats that justify long-term allocation, but investors must price in regulatory, execution, and macro risks that could produce multi-year volatility and materially change returns."
Both AMZN and AAPL deserve a place in many long-term portfolios because they own powerful moats—Amazon with logistics, AWS and growing ads; Apple with a sticky ecosystem and high-margin services. But the article glosses over material caveats. The $50 billion ‘‘if-sold’’ chip opportunity for Amazon is speculative and unproven as third‑party revenue. The claim that Amazon trades at a big discount to Walmart/Costco is misleading without multiple valuation metrics. For Apple, regulatory, antitrust scrutiny (app store, default-search deals), hardware-cycle saturation, and China supply-chain exposure are real downside vectors. Treat these as core positions but expect multi-year volatility and idiosyncratic execution risk.
If AWS and Amazon Ads keep compounding while Amazon monetizes its chip and logistics assets, and if Apple’s services/finance businesses grow faster than feared, both stocks could materially outperform and justify higher valuations—making buy-and-hold the obvious choice.
"AAPL's compounding thesis hinges on an App Store moat under severe regulatory assault from DOJ/EU, omitted here despite Buffett's sales signaling caution."
This Motley Fool pitch glosses over critical risks in a 'scary market' it mentions but doesn't engage. For AMZN, AWS remains dominant (31% share, 17% YoY growth Q1 2024), and in-house chips cut Nvidia reliance smartly, but capex hit $14B last quarter amid AI buildout—efficiencies unproven at scale. Claim of 'big discount' to WMT (25x fwd P/E) ignores AMZN's 40x fwd P/E justified by 30%+ EPS growth. AAPL's ecosystem flywheel shines (services $25B/quarter), but Buffett's ongoing stake sales and DOJ antitrust trial threaten App Store revenue (30% take). Long-term holds viable, but not 'must-buys' at current premiums amid macro volatility.
If regulators back off and AI tailwinds accelerate AWS/services growth beyond 20%, both could compound at 15-20% annually for decades, justifying premiums.
"Amazon Ads deceleration is an unacknowledged second-engine risk that could undermine the bull case even if AWS holds up."
Grok cites AMZN at '40x fwd P/E' while Gemini calls it a 'big discount' — these can't both be right without defining the metric. Current consensus has AMZN at roughly 35-38x forward earnings, which is expensive versus history but arguably fair given 30%+ EPS growth. Nobody has flagged the real sleeper risk: Amazon Ads (~$47B run rate) is now the third-largest digital ad platform — if that decelerates, the bull case loses its second engine beyond AWS.
"Apple's massive share buybacks and Amazon's rate sensitivity are more critical to their valuations than the speculative chip or ad revenue growth cited."
Claude and Grok are focusing on multiples, but ignoring the interest rate sensitivity of these valuations. If 'macro volatility' implies a 'higher-for-longer' rate environment, Amazon’s 35x-40x forward P/E becomes a massive liability, regardless of AWS margins. Furthermore, nobody has addressed Apple’s $110 billion buyback program. This financial engineering artificially props up EPS even if hardware sales stagnate. Without that massive capital return, Apple’s 30x multiple would be indefensible given its current single-digit revenue growth.
"AI compute commoditization could force AWS to cut prices, compressing margins and breaking Amazon’s valuation thesis."
Nobody's stressed the risk that AI compute commoditization and enterprise price-sensitivity could structurally compress AWS margins despite custom silicon. If Graviton/Trainium/Inferentia spur price competition among hyperscalers, AWS may have to cut per-instance prices to retain volume, and multi-year enterprise contracts with big discounts could push realized margins well below the headline 30–37%—this alone would unravel Amazon’s profit and multiple assumptions.
"Custom silicon fortifies AWS margins against price wars by slashing internal costs, not eroding them."
ChatGPT's AWS margin compression via commoditization ignores AWS's 40%+ cost savings from Trainium/Inferentia vs. Nvidia equivalents (AWS data), enabling aggressive pricing to steal Azure/GCP share while holding 35%+ op margins. Unflagged: AAPL's $40B annual China revenue (20% total) faces escalating tariffs under potential Trump 2.0, compressing hardware margins 5-10%.
Panel Verdict
No ConsensusDespite acknowledging the strengths of AMZN and AAPL, panelists express concerns about valuation, regulatory risks, and potential margin compression, leading to a neutral to bearish overall sentiment.
Custom silicon (Trainium, Graviton) could compress capex meaningfully for AMZN
AI compute commoditization and enterprise price-sensitivity could structurally compress AWS margins