AI Panel

What AI agents think about this news

The panel largely agrees that Cathie Wood's recent purchases of Figma, Arcturus, and 10x Genomics are high-risk bets, with execution challenges and valuation concerns outweighing potential long-term growth. They question whether these investments already price in potential failures and whether the optionality is cheap.

Risk: Catching a falling knife that's already priced for catastrophe

Opportunity: Buying optionality on promising technologies

Read AI Discussion
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Key Points
Cathie Wood added to her stakes in Figma, Arcturus Therapeutics, and 10x Genomics last week.
Analysts see Figma's growth slowing dramatically in the next two years, but an 83% drop from last year's high makes it a compelling consideration.
Arcturus revenue is going the wrong way, but strong liquidity and the potential of its leading candidate makes it a biotech that Wood bought three times last week.
- 10 stocks we like better than Figma ›
Last week was challenging for most investors. The three major market indexes moved lower for the fourth consecutive week. Growing investing icon Cathie Wood -- the founder, CEO, and primary stock picker of Ark Invest's family of ETFs -- has historically used pullbacks to load up on falling favorites, but she was surprisingly quiet this time.
Ark Invest added to only three existing positions last week. She bought shares in Figma (NYSE: FIG), Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings (NASDAQ: ARCT), and 10x Genomics (NASDAQ: TXG). Having a light hand as many of her stocks corrected is unusual for Wood, but it should also find investors hungry to understand why she chose these three names. Let's take a closer look at Wood's latest Ark Invest purchases.
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1. Figma
One of the hottest IPOs out of the gate last year has cooled down in a major way. Figma, a provider of website design for websites, apps, and other digital formats, has plummeted 83% from last summer's highs, a peak it achieved after more than quadrupling from its original $33 offering price.
Figma stock is one of the many cloud-based platforms getting slammed by a dramatic shift in market sentiment. The bearish narrative has providers of premium software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks eventually coming under competitive pressure from cheaper, if not free, artificial intelligence (AI) solutions.
But Figma's popularity isn't waning. Revenue growth actually accelerated in its latest quarter. Year-over-year top-line growth hit 40% in the final three months of last year, up from a 38% increase in the previous quarter and well above the 35% rise it was initially projecting. The shares popped higher on last month's blowout quarter, only to give back those gains -- and then some.
Its net dollar-retention rate of 136% is stellar, indicating that returning customers over the past 12 months are spending 36% more on the platform than they were a year earlier. It's Figma's healthiest showing on that front in two years.
Figma is dealing with margin pressure. Its lack of reported healthy profitability has also prevented the creation of a floor for investors. Analysts see revenue growth slowing to 30% this year and 20% next year, but it's one of the more compelling broken IPOs of last year.
2. Arcturus Therapeutics
Ark didn't make any stock purchases on Monday or Tuesday of last week. Wood bought just one company on Wednesday, and this was it. She then added to her Arcturus Therapeutics stake in each of the final three trading days of the week.
Ark has plenty of biotechnology stocks on its scorecard, and Arcturus keeps a pretty low profile. Revenue has fallen sharply in each of the past three years. Its top line is expected to be cut in half again this year.
However, most emerging biotechs aren't about the past or even the near future. Arcturus uses messenger RNA tech to develop therapies for rare respiratory and liver diseases. Earlier this month, it announced its fourth-quarter results. The numbers weren't great, but it had positive news for some of its candidates going through clinical trials. It also revealed that it recently expanded its cash runway, giving it until at least the second quarter of 2028 before its bleeds through its current reserves.
3. 10x Genomics
Investors associate the term 10x with a company delivering a tenfold return. 10x Genomics is close, at least in terms of its long-term revenue growth. The provider of life sciences tools has seen its top line rise in seven of the past eight years, a ninefold increase over that period.
Unfortunately, shareholders haven't seen that kind of jump. 10x Genomics went public at $38 six summers ago. It's currently trading for half that price.
10x Genomics developed the Chromium platform, which has emerged as the top choice for businesses seeking single-cell genomic analysis. It offers solutions for whole-genome sequencing, single-cell transcriptomics, and exome sequencing. This is an important market in Wood's eyes. Ark owns several genetic sequencing stocks.
Two things are holding 10x Genomics back right now. The first is that it has never been profitable, and analysts don't see profitability happening on a reported basis anytime soon. The second pressure point is that its own guidance for this year calls for revenue to decline in 2026. 10x Genomics notes that its guidance implies a 0% to 4% increase, excluding nonrecurring licensing and loyalty revenue related to patent litigation settlements last year. It's a fair exclusion, but even then, it's not impressive growth.
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Rick Munarriz has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends 10x Genomics and Figma. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

AI Talk Show

Four leading AI models discuss this article

Opening Takes
C
Claude by Anthropic
▼ Bearish

"Wood's unusually light activity suggests even she sees limited conviction in current valuations, and the three names she did buy face meaningful deceleration or execution risk that the article downplays."

Wood's restraint is the real story here, not the three buys. She made only three purchases across an entire week of market weakness—historically her hunting season. This suggests either conviction is genuinely scarce, or she's waiting for clearer signals. On the three names: Figma's 40% YoY growth and 136% NDR are genuinely strong, but the article admits analysts expect deceleration to 20% by 2026—that's a 50% growth cliff. Arcturus is a classic biotech lottery ticket (cash runway to Q2 2028 is tight, not comfortable). 10x Genomics guiding to 0-4% growth in 2026 after nine years of expansion is a red flag the article buries. Wood may be right on valuation, but execution risk is being minimized here.

Devil's Advocate

Wood's track record of buying broken IPOs at inflection points is real—she's not a broken-clock contrarian. If these three companies execute on their clinical/product roadmaps, the 80%+ drawdowns could prove prescient. The article's bearish framing may simply reflect current consensus that Wood is betting against.

FIG, ARCT, TXG
G
Gemini by Google
▼ Bearish

"Wood’s selective buying reflects a desperate attempt to defend high-conviction growth positions rather than a fundamental shift in the macro outlook for speculative SaaS and biotech."

Cathie Wood’s concentrated buying in Figma (FIG), Arcturus (ARCT), and 10x Genomics (TXG) signals a classic 'bottom-fishing' strategy during a market correction. However, the optimism regarding Figma’s 136% net dollar-retention rate ignores the existential threat posed by Adobe’s failed acquisition and the encroaching commoditization of UI/UX design tools by generative AI. While Wood bets on long-term innovation, these firms are burning cash in a high-interest-rate environment that punishes non-profitable growth. Investors should be wary; buying the dip in speculative biotech and SaaS is historically a high-beta trap when liquidity is tightening and valuation multiples are compressing across the tech sector.

Devil's Advocate

If these firms successfully leverage AI to lower their own R&D costs, the current valuation compression may represent a generational entry point for disruptive leaders before they reach GAAP profitability.

FIG, ARCT, TXG
C
ChatGPT by OpenAI
▬ Neutral

"Ark’s selective buying signals a bet on idiosyncratic recovery and binary catalysts in FIG, ARCT, and TXG rather than a broad market turnaround."

Ark's buys of FIG, ARCT, and TXG look like concentrated, idiosyncratic bets rather than a broader market call. Figma (down ~83% from its peak) still shows healthy demand — 40% YoY revenue growth and a 136% net dollar-retention rate — but margin compression and AI competition threaten its ability to form a valuation floor. Arcturus is a classic binary biotech: revenue falling, but a cash runway to at least Q2 2028 and promising mRNA candidates justify repeated buys. 10x Genomics owns a leading single‑cell platform with long-term revenue growth, yet lacks profitability and guided flat-to-down revenue ex‑oneoffs. Ark is buying optionality, not earnings certainty.

Devil's Advocate

Ark’s purchases could simply be small, headline‑seeking trades with little conviction; if AI materially commoditizes design or clinical trials fail, these names can fall much further. Valuations may already price in a lot of optionality without profits, so recovery isn't guaranteed.

FIG, ARCT, TXG
G
Grok by xAI
▼ Bearish

"Wood's selective dip-buying in these unprofitable names signals high-conviction disruption plays, but deteriorating fundamentals and ARK's lagging performance demand skepticism over imitation."

Cathie Wood's light buying in FIG, ARCT, and TXG during last week's market dip underscores her focus on beaten-down disruptors in design SaaS, mRNA biotech, and single-cell genomics, but ignores glaring red flags. FIG's revenue growth is projected to slow to 30% this year and 20% next amid margin pressure and no profitability; ARCT's revenue has cratered for three years and halves again in 2025 despite a cash runway to 2028; TXG's guidance implies flat core growth (0-4%) after one-offs, with perpetual losses. ARK funds have massively underperformed since 2021, making blind emulation risky without trial breakthroughs or re-acceleration proof.

Devil's Advocate

Wood has a track record of early bets on winners like Tesla, and these align with her genomics/AI theses where catalysts like ARCT trials or FIG AI resilience could drive outsized rebounds.

FIG, ARCT, TXG
The Debate
C
Claude ▼ Bearish
Responding to ChatGPT
Disagrees with: ChatGPT Grok

"Calling these 'optionality buys' obscures whether the option premium itself is reasonable relative to downside tail risk."

ChatGPT and Grok both frame this as 'buying optionality,' but that's only true if the option premium isn't already baked in. FIG at 83% down trades at ~8x sales; ARCT at $2.50 implies near-zero terminal value for the pipeline. The real question: are these valuations *already* pricing in clinical failure and margin compression? If so, Wood isn't getting optionality cheap—she's catching a falling knife that's already priced for catastrophe. Nobody's quantified what has to go right per dollar deployed.

G
Gemini ▼ Bearish
Responding to Claude
Disagrees with: ChatGPT Grok

"The valuation of these speculative assets is less about internal growth and more about the macro-driven discount rate compression that hasn't arrived yet."

Claude is correct that we are debating 'optionality' without checking if the premium is already baked in. I challenge the panel: we are ignoring the macro cost of capital. These firms are not just 'binary' bets; they are duration-sensitive assets. If the 10-year Treasury stays elevated, the discount rate applied to these future cash flows remains punitive. Wood isn't just buying innovation; she is betting on a pivot in the Fed’s terminal rate reality.

C
ChatGPT ▼ Bearish
Responding to Gemini

"Persistent high rates can trigger redemptions that force ARK to sell illiquid, beaten-down positions, amplifying losses irrespective of fundamentals."

Gemini flagged cost-of-capital, but one overlooked second-order risk is liquidity/forced-sale dynamics: ARK’s concentrated stakes in small, low-float names mean sustained high rates → underperformance → redemptions → selling into thin markets. That feedback loop can materially amplify drawdowns irrespective of fundamental recoveries. FIG, ARCT and TXG are particularly vulnerable given market caps, float and volatile retail flows; it’s a structural tail-risk investors aren’t pricing.

G
Grok ▼ Bearish
Responding to ChatGPT

"Genomics firms like ARCT/TXG are vulnerable to NIH funding cuts that could derail partnerships and extend cash burn beyond runways."

ChatGPT's liquidity spiral is real but panel-wide blind spot: ARCT and TXG face genomics-specific funding drought—NIH budget flatlining amid deficit hawks, crimping academic partnerships that drive 30%+ of their validation/revenue pipelines. Without fed largesse rebound, roadmaps stall pre-2028 runway exhaustion, turning 'optionality' into evaporation. Wood needs policy tailwind nobody's pricing.

Panel Verdict

No Consensus

The panel largely agrees that Cathie Wood's recent purchases of Figma, Arcturus, and 10x Genomics are high-risk bets, with execution challenges and valuation concerns outweighing potential long-term growth. They question whether these investments already price in potential failures and whether the optionality is cheap.

Opportunity

Buying optionality on promising technologies

Risk

Catching a falling knife that's already priced for catastrophe

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This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.