PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. - Class A Common Stock

NASDAQ · Technology · Переглянути на SEC EDGAR ↗
$134,80
Ціна · Тра 20, 2026
Фундаментальні показники станом на Тра 5, 2026
Діапазон 52 тижнів
$119–$208
18% of range
Рейтинг аналітиків
BUY
38 analysts
Цільова ціна
$184
+36% upside
P/E (TTM)
282.1
ROE
26.2%
Маржа чистого прибутку
36.3%

PLTR Знімок акцій Ціна, ринкова капіталізація, P/E, EPS, ROE, борг/власний капітал, діапазон 52 тижнів

Ціна
$134.80
Капіталізація
$425.03B
P/E (TTM)
282.1
Прибуток на акцію (TTM)
$0.63
Виручка (TTM)
$4.48B
Дивідендна дохідність
—
ROE
26.2%
Борг/Капітал
—
Діапазон 52 тижнів
$119 – $208

PLTR Графік ціни акцій Денні OHLCV з технічними індикаторами — панування, масштабування та налаштування вашого представлення

10-річна ефективність Тренди виручки, чистого прибутку, маржі та EPS

Виручка та чистий прибуток $4.48B
8-point trend, +651.7%
2018-12-31 → 2025-12-31
Прибуток на акцію $0.63
8-point trend, +153.8%
2018-12-31 → 2025-12-31
Вільний грошовий потік $2.10B
6-point trend, +780.1%
2020-12-31 → 2025-12-31
Маржа 36.3%
6-point trend, +21.6%
2020-12-31 → 2025-12-31

Оцінка Співвідношення P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA — акція дорога чи дешева?

Метрика
5-річний тренд
PLTR
Медіана аналогів
P/E (TTM)
5-point trend, +518.3%
282.1
50.5
P/S (TTM)
5-point trend, +296.6%
95.0
4.4
P/B
5-point trend, +257.0%
57.5
6.8
Price / FCF (Ціна / FCF)
5-point trend, +76.0%
202.3
—

Прибутковість Валова, операційна та чиста маржа; ROE, ROA, ROIC

Метрика
5-річний тренд
PLTR
Медіана аналогів
Gross Margin (Валова маржа)
5-point trend, +5.6%
82.4%
69.4%
Operating Margin (Операційна маржа)
5-point trend, +218.5%
31.6%
—
Net Profit Margin (Маржа чистого прибутку)
5-point trend, +207.6%
36.3%
7.4%
ROA
5-point trend, +221.6%
21.3%
4.4%
ROE
5-point trend, +214.4%
26.2%
7.6%
ROIC
5-point trend, +198.8%
18.9%
—

Фінансове здоровʼя Борг, ліквідність, платоспроможність — міцність балансу

Метрика
5-річний тренд
PLTR
Медіана аналогів
Current Ratio (Поточний коефіцієнт)
5-point trend, +63.9%
7.1
1.9
Quick Ratio (Коефіцієнт швидкої ліквідності)
5-point trend, +69.9%
7.0
—

Зростання Зростання виручки, EPS та чистого прибутку: рік до року, 3-річний CAGR, 5-річний CAGR

Метрика
5-річний тренд
PLTR
Медіана аналогів
Revenue YoY (Виторг рік до року)
5-point trend, +190.3%
56.2%
—
Revenue CAGR 3Y (CAGR виторгу 3 роки)
5-point trend, +190.3%
32.9%
—
Revenue CAGR 5Y (CAGR виторгу 5 років)
5-point trend, +190.3%
32.6%
—
EPS YoY
5-point trend, +333.3%
231.6%
—
Net Income YoY (Чистий прибуток рік до року)
5-point trend, +412.3%
251.6%
—

Показники на акцію EPS, балансова вартість на акцію, грошовий потік на акцію, дивіденд на акцію

Метрика
5-річний тренд
PLTR
Медіана аналогів
EPS (Diluted) (EPS (розбавлений))
5-point trend, +333.3%
$0.63
—

Ефективність капіталу Оборотність активів, оборотність запасів, оборотність дебіторської заборгованості

Метрика
5-річний тренд
PLTR
Медіана аналогів

PLTR Консенсус аналітиків Бичачі та ведмежі думки аналітиків, 12-місячна цільова ціна, потенціал зростання

КУПІВЛЯ 38 аналітиків
  • Активна купівля 11 28,9%
  • Купівля 15 39,5%
  • Утримувати 10 26,3%
  • Продаж 1 2,6%
  • Активний продаж 1 2,6%

12-місячна цільова ціна

27 аналітиків · 2026-05-14
Медіанна цільова ціна $200.00 +48,4%
Середня цільова ціна $183.73 +36,3%

Історія прибутків EPS фактичний проти прогнозу, сюрприз %, коефіцієнт перевищення, дата наступного звіту про прибутки

Середній сюрприз
0.02%
Період EPS Actual EPS прогноз Сюрприз
31 березня 2026 р. $0.33 $0.28 0.05%
31 грудня 2025 р. $0.25 $0.23 0.02%
30 вересня 2025 р. $0.21 $0.17 0.04%
30 червня 2025 р. $0.16 $0.14 0.02%
31 березня 2025 р. $0.13 $0.13 -0.00%

Порівняння з конкурентами Ключові показники порівняно з аналогами в секторі

Тікер Капіталізація P/E Виручка рік до року Чиста маржа ROE Валова маржа
PLTR $425.03B 282.1 56.2% 36.3% 26.2% 82.4%
APP $227.96B 69.1 70.0% 60.8% 201.9% —
CRM $197.22B 27.2 9.6% 18.0% 12.4% 77.7%
INTU $219.15B 57.4 15.6% 20.5% 20.5% —
ADBE $132.21B 19.2 10.5% 30.0% 61.8% 89.3%
CDNS $84.96B 77.0 14.1% 20.9% 21.2% —
SNPS $84.41B 56.4 15.1% 18.9% 7.1% 77.0%
DDOG $47.94B 438.7 27.7% 3.1% 3.1% 80.0%
MSTR — -10.0 3.0% -806.3% -8.4% 68.7%
ADSK $53.90B 48.6 17.5% 15.6% 39.0% 91.0%

Повні фундаментальні показники Усі показники за роками — звіт про прибутки та збитки, баланс, рух грошових коштів

Звіт про прибутки та збитки 18
Річні дані Звіт про прибутки та збитки для PLTR
Метрика Тенденція 20252024202320222021202020192018
Revenue 8-point trend, +651.7% $4.48B $2.87B $2.23B $1.91B $1.54B $1.09B $743M $595M
Cost of Revenue 8-point trend, +377.1% $789M $566M $431M $409M $339M $353M $242M $165M
Gross Profit 8-point trend, +757.3% $3.69B $2.30B $1.79B $1.50B $1.20B $740M $500M $430M
R&D Expense 8-point trend, +95.4% $558M $508M $405M $360M $387M $561M $306M $285M
SG&A Expense 8-point trend, +114.8% $658M $593M $524M $596M $612M $669M $321M $306M
Operating Expenses 8-point trend, +115.7% $2.27B $1.99B $1.67B $1.66B $1.61B $1.91B $1.08B $1.05B
Operating Income 8-point trend, +326.8% $1.41B $310M $120M $-161M $-411M $-1.17B $-576M $-623M
Interest Expense 6-point trend, +0.9% · · $3M $4M $4M $14M $3M $3M
Interest Income 8-point trend, +2082.7% $229M $197M $133M $20M $2M $5M $15M $10M
Other Non-op 8-point trend, +637.2% $14M $-18M $-15M $-220M $-75M $4M $-3M $-3M
Pretax Income 8-point trend, +390.3% $1.66B $489M $237M $-361M $-488M $-1.18B $-567M $-571M
Income Tax 8-point trend, +149.7% $23M $21M $20M $10M $32M $-13M $12M $9M
Net Income 8-point trend, +380.2% $1.63B $462M $210M $-374M $-520M $-1.17B $-580M $-580M
EPS (Basic) 8-point trend, +162.2% $0.69 $0.21 $0.10 $-0.18 $-0.27 $-1.19 $-1.02 $-1.11
EPS (Diluted) 8-point trend, +153.8% $0.63 $0.19 $0.09 $-0.18 $-0.27 $-1.20 $-1.02 $-1.17
Shares (Basic) 8-point trend, +341.0% 2,369,612,000 2,250,163,000 2,147,446,000 2,063,793,000 1,923,617,000 977,722,000 576,959,000 537,280,394
Shares (Diluted) 8-point trend, +371.5% 2,565,197,000 2,450,818,000 2,297,927,000 2,063,793,000 1,923,617,000 979,330,000 576,959,000 544,014,393
EBITDA 6-point trend, +224.2% $1.44B $342M $153M $-139M $-396M $-1.16B · ·
Баланс 27
Річні дані Баланс для PLTR
Метрика Тенденція 20252024202320222021202020192018
Cash & Equivalents 8-point trend, +27.5% $1.42B $2.10B $831M $2.60B $2.29B $2.01B $1.08B $1.12B
Short-term Investments 5-point trend, +2357.0% $5.75B $3.13B $2.84B $35M $234M · · ·
Receivables 7-point trend, +1971.1% $1.04B $575M $365M $258M $191M $157M $50M ·
Prepaid Expense 7-point trend, +326.8% $139M $129M $100M $150M $111M $52M $33M ·
Current Assets 7-point trend, +588.4% $8.36B $5.93B $4.14B $3.04B $2.86B $2.26B $1.21B ·
PP&E (Net) 7-point trend, +64.5% $52M $40M $48M $69M $31M $30M $32M ·
PP&E (Gross) 7-point trend, +43.4% $201M $163M $150M $152M $101M $118M $140M ·
Accum. Depreciation 7-point trend, +37.3% $149M $123M $102M $82M $70M $88M $109M ·
Goodwill 2-point trend, +1929.9% · · · $38M $2M · · ·
Intangibles 4-point trend, +370.8% · $18M $26M $36M $4M · · ·
Other Non-current Assets 7-point trend, +274.0% $290M $166M $153M $150M $96M $107M $78M ·
Total Assets 7-point trend, +458.4% $8.90B $6.34B $4.52B $3.46B $3.25B $2.69B $1.59B ·
Accounts Payable 7-point trend, -84.4% $8M $103.0K $12M $45M $75M $16M $52M ·
Accrued Liabilities 7-point trend, +180.9% $356M $427M $223M $173M $156M $159M $127M ·
Current Liabilities 7-point trend, +61.3% $1.18B $996M $746M $588M $660M $604M $729M ·
Capital Leases 6-point trend, -20.2% $183M $195M $175M $204M $220M $230M · ·
Other Non-current Liabilities 7-point trend, -90.9% $7M $14M $11M $13M $2M $4M $78M ·
Total Liabilities 7-point trend, -2.4% $1.41B $1.25B $961M $819M $956M $1.17B $1.45B ·
Total Debt 2-point trend, -100.0% · · · · $0 $198M · ·
Common Stock 7-point trend, +306.6% $2M $2M $2M $2M $2M $2M $588.0K ·
Paid-in Capital 7-point trend, +488.7% $10.93B $10.19B $9.12B $8.43B $7.78B $6.49B $1.86B ·
Retained Earnings 7-point trend, +6.2% $-3.56B $-5.19B $-5.65B $-5.86B $-5.49B $-4.97B $-3.80B ·
Treasury Stock 2-point trend, -100.0% · · · · · $0 $39M ·
AOCI 7-point trend, +2083.2% $14M $-6M $801.0K $-5M $-2M $-3M $-703.0K ·
Stockholders' Equity 8-point trend, +521.8% $7.39B $5.00B $3.48B $2.57B $2.29B $1.52B $-1.98B $-1.75B
Liabilities + Equity 7-point trend, +458.4% $8.90B $6.34B $4.52B $3.46B $3.25B $2.69B $1.59B ·
Shares Outstanding 7-point trend, +311.2% 2,391,192,000 2,338,795,000 2,200,128,000 2,099,075,000 2,027,474,000 1,792,140,000 581,497,000 ·
Грошовий потік 16
Річні дані Грошовий потік для PLTR
Метрика Тенденція 20252024202320222021202020192018
D&A 8-point trend, +88.0% $26M $32M $33M $23M $15M $14M $12M $14M
Stock-based Comp 8-point trend, +175.3% $684M $692M $476M $565M $778M $1.27B $242M $249M
Deferred Tax 8-point trend, +44.0% $-4M $-566.0K $-5M $-174.0K $43M $-20M $-7M $-7M
Amort. of Intangibles 3-point trend, +7800000.00 · $8M $10M $0 · · · ·
Other Non-cash 6-point trend, +50.1% $-197M $-31M $-2M $10M $18M $-394M · ·
Operating Cash Flow 8-point trend, +5571.3% $2.13B $1.15B $712M $224M $334M $-297M $-165M $-39M
CapEx 8-point trend, +160.6% $34M $13M $15M $40M $13M $12M $13M $13M
Investing Cash Flow 8-point trend, -40931.1% $-2.78B $-341M $-2.71B $-45M $-398M $-15M $-22M $-7M
Stock Issued 5-point trend, -100.0% · · · $0 $0 $199M $544M $96M
Stock Repurchased 8-point trend, +873.1% $75M $64M $0 $0 $0 $4M $11M $8M
Net Stock Activity 5-point trend, -108.0% $-75M $-64M · $0 $0 $939M · ·
Financing Cash Flow 8-point trend, -158.3% $-27M $463M $219M $86M $307M $1.04B $325M $46M
Net Change in Cash 8-point trend, -19885.4% $-669M $1.27B $-1.78B $260M $239M $726M $135M $-3M
Taxes Paid 8-point trend, +26.8% $22M $16M $14M $3M $4M $14M $9M $17M
Free Cash Flow 6-point trend, +780.1% $2.10B $1.14B $697M $184M $321M $-309M · ·
Levered FCF 4-point trend, +314.9% · · $694M $180M $317M $-323M · ·
Прибутковість 8
Річні дані Прибутковість для PLTR
Метрика Тенденція 20252024202320222021202020192018
Gross Margin 6-point trend, +21.6% 82.4% 80.2% 80.6% 78.6% 78.0% 67.7% · ·
Operating Margin 6-point trend, +129.4% 31.6% 10.8% 5.4% -8.5% -26.7% -107.4% · ·
Net Margin 6-point trend, +134.0% 36.3% 16.1% 9.4% -19.6% -33.8% -106.7% · ·
Pretax Margin 6-point trend, +134.3% 37.0% 17.1% 10.7% -18.9% -31.7% -107.9% · ·
EBITDA Margin 6-point trend, +130.3% 32.2% 11.9% 6.9% -7.3% -25.7% -106.1% · ·
ROA 6-point trend, +139.2% 21.3% 8.5% 5.3% -11.1% -17.5% -54.4% · ·
ROE 6-point trend, +131.2% 26.2% 10.9% 7.0% -15.2% -22.9% -84.1% · ·
ROIC 6-point trend, +128.0% 18.9% 5.9% 3.2% -6.5% -19.1% -67.5% · ·
Ліквідність та платоспроможність 5
Річні дані Ліквідність та платоспроможність для PLTR
Метрика Тенденція 20252024202320222021202020192018
Current Ratio 6-point trend, +90.2% 7.1 6.0 5.5 5.2 4.3 3.7 · ·
Quick Ratio 6-point trend, +94.7% 7.0 5.8 5.4 4.9 4.1 3.6 · ·
Debt / Equity 2-point trend, -100.0% · · · · 0.0 0.1 · ·
LT Debt / Equity 2-point trend, -100.0% · · · · 0.0 0.1 · ·
Interest Coverage 4-point trend, +141.6% · · 34.6 -39.7 -112.9 -83.0 · ·
Ефективність 2
Річні дані Ефективність для PLTR
Метрика Тенденція 20252024202320222021202020192018
Asset Turnover 6-point trend, +15.1% 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 · ·
Receivables Turnover 6-point trend, -47.5% 5.5 6.1 7.1 8.5 8.9 10.5 · ·
На акцію 5
Річні дані На акцію для PLTR
Метрика Тенденція 20252024202320222021202020192018
Book Value / Share 6-point trend, +263.6% $3.09 $2.14 $1.58 $1.22 $1.13 $0.85 · ·
Revenue / Share 6-point trend, +56.4% $1.74 $1.17 $0.97 $0.92 $0.80 $1.12 · ·
Cash Flow / Share 6-point trend, +374.7% $0.83 $0.47 $0.31 $0.11 $0.17 $-0.30 · ·
Cash / Share 6-point trend, -46.9% $0.60 $0.90 $0.38 $1.24 $1.13 $1.12 · ·
EPS (TTM) 6-point trend, +152.5% $0.63 $0.19 $0.09 $-0.18 $-0.27 $-1.20 · ·
Темпи зростання 5
Річні дані Темпи зростання для PLTR
Метрика Тенденція 20252024202320222021202020192018
Revenue YoY 5-point trend, +36.7% 56.2% 28.8% 16.8% 23.6% 41.1% · · ·
Revenue CAGR 3Y 3-point trend, +23.1% 32.9% 22.9% 26.8% · · · · ·
Revenue CAGR 5Y 32.6% · · · · · · ·
EPS YoY 2-point trend, +108.4% 231.6% 111.1% · · · · · ·
Net Income YoY 2-point trend, +109.2% 251.6% 120.3% · · · · · ·
Оцінка (TTM) 14
Річні дані Оцінка (TTM) для PLTR
Метрика Тенденція 20252024202320222021202020192018
Revenue TTM 6-point trend, +309.6% $4.48B $2.87B $2.23B $1.91B $1.54B $1.09B · ·
Net Income TTM 6-point trend, +239.3% $1.63B $462M $210M $-374M $-520M $-1.17B · ·
Market Cap 6-point trend, +907.1% $425.03B $176.88B $37.78B $13.48B $36.92B $42.20B · ·
Enterprise Value 2-point trend, -14.8% · · · · $34.40B $40.39B · ·
P/E 6-point trend, +1537.7% 282.1 398.1 190.8 -35.7 -67.4 -19.6 · ·
P/S 6-point trend, +145.9% 95.0 61.7 17.0 7.1 23.9 38.6 · ·
P/B 6-point trend, +107.6% 57.5 35.4 10.9 5.3 16.1 27.7 · ·
P / Tangible Book 6-point trend, +107.6% 57.5 35.5 11.0 5.4 16.2 27.7 · ·
P / Cash Flow 6-point trend, +239.9% 199.1 153.3 53.0 60.2 110.6 -142.3 · ·
P / FCF 6-point trend, +248.1% 202.3 155.0 54.2 73.4 114.9 -136.7 · ·
EV / EBITDA 2-point trend, -149.3% · · · · -86.8 -34.8 · ·
EV / FCF 2-point trend, +181.9% · · · · 107.1 -130.8 · ·
EV / Revenue 2-point trend, -39.7% · · · · 22.3 37.0 · ·
Earnings Yield 6-point trend, +106.9% 0.35% 0.25% 0.52% -2.8% -1.5% -5.1% · ·

Фінансова звітність Звіт про прибутки та збитки, баланс, рух грошових коштів — річні, за останні 5 років

Звіт про прибутки та збитки
2025-12-312024-12-312023-12-312022-12-312021-12-31
Виручка $4.48B$2.87B$2.23B$1.91B$1.54B
Валова маржа % 82.4%80.2%80.6%78.6%78.0%
Операційна маржа % 31.6%10.8%5.4%-8.5%-26.7%
Чистий прибуток $1.63B$462M$210M$-374M$-520M
Розбавлений EPS $0.63$0.19$0.09$-0.18$-0.27
Баланс
2025-12-312024-12-312023-12-312022-12-312021-12-31
Борг / Власний капітал ————0.0
Поточний коефіцієнт 7.16.05.55.24.3
Коефіцієнт швидкої ліквідності 7.05.85.44.94.1
Грошовий потік
2025-12-312024-12-312023-12-312022-12-312021-12-31
Вільний грошовий потік $2.10B$1.14B$697M$184M$321M

PLTR Панель ШІ-аналітиків — бичачі та ведмежі погляди Дебати 2026Q2: Claude, Grok, Gemini, ChatGPT щодо перспектив акцій

Раунд 1 — Початкові думки

Grok NEUTRAL 0,85
↑ Бичачий

Palantir's AI platforms are scaling rapidly in government and enterprise deals, delivering software-like margins with no debt drag. Gross margin stays steady at 80.81%. That pricing power lets them keep costs low as revenue explodes from data services. Net margin climbed to 28.11%. Profits are surging as a share of sales, proving the business model works at scale. ROE improved to 19.09%. Shareholders see strong returns without leverage, a rare feat in tech.

↓ Ведмежий

Palantir's valuation embeds flawless execution forever, but dilution and competition could derail the story. P/E TTM sits at 387x. The market demands endless earnings growth to avoid a sharp correction. P/S TTM at 109x remains flat. Revenue multiples this high signal hype over fundamentals, even for AI plays. Peers like CRM trade at 20x P/E. PLTR looks wildly expensive relative to proven software giants.

Claude NEUTRAL 0,62
↑ Бичачий

Palantir's core business is firing — net margins expanded to 28% and EPS grew 42% year-over-year, showing the company is finally converting scale into real profit. The 80% gross margin is fortress-like, and with zero debt and a 6.4 current ratio, the balance sheet can fund growth or weather downturns without dilution pressure. If AI adoption in government and enterprise accelerates as expected, this margin profile scales beautifully. The stock's 386 P/E looks insane until you remember: the earnings base is still tiny, and if they grow into even half that multiple, shareholders win.

↓ Ведмежий

I see a company priced for perfection in a way that leaves no room for execution stumbles. The P/E of 386 means the market has already baked in years of flawless growth — any miss or slowdown will crater the stock fast. More troubling: the news from April shows political headwinds in the UK around the NHS contract, and Michael Burry's short thesis is getting louder, not quieter. Most critically, forward dilution from stock-based compensation will erode per-share value even if revenue keeps climbing. At this valuation, you need not just growth — you need growth that accelerates, and I see no evidence of that inflection yet.

Gemini NEUTRAL 0,60
↑ Бичачий

Palantir is effectively building the operating system for modern government and enterprise data, creating a moat that is difficult for competitors to bridge. The company maintains an 80.81% gross margin, which shows they are selling a high-value software product that costs very little to deliver at scale. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0, they are operating with a pristine balance sheet that gives them total flexibility to invest in growth without being beholden to creditors. This financial independence is a massive advantage as they continue to capture market share in complex, high-stakes analytics environments.

↓ Ведмежий

The current valuation assumes a level of perfection that leaves absolutely no room for error or political headwinds. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings multiple of 386.77, which means investors are paying a massive premium for future earnings that may take years to materialize. We also have to acknowledge the political friction, such as the recent pushback against their NHS contract, which creates real execution risk for their government pipeline. A 108.73 price-to-sales ratio confirms that the market has priced in an aggressive growth trajectory that could easily deflate if contract wins stall or regulatory scrutiny intensifies.

Chatgpt NEUTRAL 0,62
↑ Бичачий

I think Palantir's margin durability and debt-free balance sheet create a resilient path to growth into 2026Q2. Gross margin 80.81%. That level signals Palantir can expand profitability as usage scales without proportionate cost increases. Debt/Equity 0.0. That means there’s no debt drag, so management can reinvest quickly without interest expense. Current ratio 6.4268. That liquidity cushion reduces financing risk and supports longer-term contracts with customers.

↓ Ведмежий

I think the strongest bearish case is that the stock trades at extreme multiples with uncertain growth and dilution risk as of 2026Q2. P/E TTM 386.77. That valuation implies the market expects outsized earnings growth to justify price. P/S TTM 108.74. That signals investors pay a premium per dollar of revenue, which is fragile if growth slows. ROE TTM 19.09%. That level isn't extraordinary enough to justify the multiple if future returns disappoint.

Раунд 2 — Відповіді та контраргументи

Grok

ChatGPT, your bearish read on ROE being unremarkable is spot-on and exposes the core valuation flaw. PLTR's 19% ROE trails hyper-growth peers like APP's 263%, yet commands a 387x P/E versus APP's 80x. That gap screams overpayment for unproven sustainability, especially with dilution eroding per-share gains into 2026Q2.

Claude

I need to push back on Grok's peer comparison here. Yes, CRM trades at 20x P/E, but that's not an apples-to-apples frame — Salesforce is a mature, cash-generative business with 28% net margins and a 12% ROE. Palantir's 28% net margin is actually *higher*, and the 19% ROE shows they're generating better returns on shareholder capital than Salesforce despite being earlier in their growth curve. The P/E gap reflects growth rate, not valuation excess. If Palantir's EPS compounds at even 25% annually — well below what the data suggests — that 387x multiple compresses fast. Grok's using a stable-business multiple to price a scaling business, and that's the real flaw.

Gemini

Grok, your focus on the P/S ratio is spot on, but I think you are underestimating the structural shift in their revenue quality. A P/S ratio of 108.74 is undeniably steep, but it ignores that Palantir is moving from custom consulting to a scalable software-as-a-service model. That transition is why they maintain an 80.81% gross margin. This high margin indicates that each new dollar of revenue requires almost no additional cost to generate, which is the only way they can eventually grow into that massive valuation. I remain a hold because the execution risk is high, but the platform's stickiness is the real story.

Chatgpt

Grok, I think you're right that the P/E of 386.77x flags risk if growth slows, but I’d push back on treating that as a permanent ceiling. The market is pricing the optionality of AI-enabled Gov/enterprise wins, which could expand margins as scale grows. That implies a long growth runway, but the risk is a miss or policy headwinds. Dilution risk remains—Palantir's equity comp can chip away at per-share value, even with zero debt.

Раунд 3 — Фінальні контраргументи

G
Grok

Claude and Gemini, we've circled valuation multiples, but political risk in government contracts -- Palantir's bread and butter -- deserves more weight. On April 17, UK Labour and Lib Dem MPs demanded scrapping the £330m NHS deal, calling it 'shameful' spy-tech. That's direct execution threat to international growth, amplifying US policy risks into 2026Q2. With market cap at $424B, even small pipeline hits compound the 387x P/E fragility.

C
Claude

I want to push back on something nobody's challenged yet: Grok's comparison of Palantir's 19% ROE to APP's 263% ROE as evidence of underperformance. That's a category error. APP's 263% ROE is almost certainly inflated by massive leverage or a tiny equity base — it's not a sustainable operating metric, it's a financial engineering artifact. Palantir's 19% ROE on a debt-free balance sheet is structurally honest. You can’t compare them directly. The real question is whether Palantir's ROE expands as the business scales — and the data from 2025Q3 to 2026Q1 shows it climbing from 14.6% to 19.1%. That’s the trend that matters, not a misleading peer multiple.

G
Gemini

Grok, I have to challenge your comparison to AppLovin. Using a 263% ROE for a mobile ad-tech firm to critique Palantir is an apples-to-oranges trap. That ROE metric reflects a software-light business model that is entirely different from Palantir’s heavy-duty, mission-critical infrastructure for government and enterprise. Beyond the numbers, we need to talk about the 'AIP' platform adoption curve. Palantir is increasingly embedding their AI agents into the defense industrial base, which creates a level of customer lock-in that traditional SaaS metrics fail to capture. That sticky, multi-year contract base is the real reason they can command such a massive premium.

C
Chatgpt

I choose (c) — I’m widening the frame to regulatory risk around Palantir’s NHS contract. The NHS deal is about £330 million. That exposure matters because policy headwinds can delay deployments or alter terms, reducing visibility and curbing upside for a growth-heavy story like PLTR.

Прогнози цін

Модель Ціль на 3 місяці Ціль на 6 місяців Обґрунтування
G Grok Ціль на 3 місяці $95.00 Ціль на 6 місяців $80.00 Обґрунтування I think Palantir's extreme 387x P/E leaves it primed for multiple compression as political risks hit government revenue, driving shares down from $113 by 2026Q2. Catalyst pushing to my 6-month target: UK Parliament debate outcome on May 15, 2026, scrapping or delaying the £330m NHS contract and sparking contract pipeline fears. Risk breaking thesis: Q2 2026 earnings beat with 40% YoY commercial growth, extending AI hype. That 387x P/E means the market demands endless perfection; peers average 40x, signaling 75% downside potential if growth falters.
C Claude Ціль на 3 місяці $128.00 Ціль на 6 місяців $155.00 Обґрунтування Palantir's margin expansion and ROE climb from 14.6% to 19.1% show the business is finally converting scale into durable profit — that's the thesis. The concrete catalyst is 2026Q2 earnings: if EPS grows 30%+ year-over-year and management raises full-year guidance citing government AI adoption, the market re-rates the multiple from 387x toward 120–150x, compressing valuation risk while rewarding execution. The break-risk is political — if the NHS contract stalls or US government scrutiny intensifies around data sovereignty, pipeline visibility collapses and the stock craters. At 387x P/E, even a modest earnings miss triggers a 25–35% drawdown. My 3-month target assumes consolidation near current levels as political noise persists; 6-month assumes one clean earnings beat re-rates the multiple downward while absolute profit grows, justifying a modest re-rating.
G Gemini Ціль на 3 місяці $125.00 Ціль на 6 місяців $140.00 Обґрунтування My thesis is that Palantir’s platform stickiness will overcome short-term political noise, allowing them to grow into their valuation as government enterprise adoption accelerates. A major catalyst for my 6-month target would be the successful, controversy-free expansion of their NHS data integration project, which would validate their model for other national health systems. Conversely, a formal legislative termination of that contract would break my thesis by signaling a ceiling on their government pipeline. Currently, their 108.73 price-to-sales ratio means investors are paying over 100 dollars for every dollar of revenue, which is only justifiable if they maintain this aggressive, high-margin revenue growth trajectory.
C Chatgpt Ціль на 3 місяці $115.00 Ціль на 6 місяців $120.00 Обґрунтування I think Palantir will drift modestly higher over the next six months as earnings validate a scaling AI-driven gov/enterprise growth. The upcoming earnings print and management's updated guidance on AI deployments in government and enterprise will be the catalyst. A quarterly earnings miss or sharper dilution due to equity comp or NHS contract headwinds could break the thesis. With the current price around 112.78, my 3-month target sits near 115 and my 6-month target near 120.

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