High Probability Advisors, LLC
CIK 2039415 · View on SEC EDGAR ↗
- Portfolio value
- $935.0M
- Positions
- 75
- As of
- June 30, 2026
#2,557 of 9,443 by 13F value · top 27.1%
Portfolio value QoQ: +19.7% 13F does not disclose cash
- Top 10 holdings weight
- 66.43%
- Top 25 holdings weight
- 96.75%
- Positions above 1%
- 22
- Effective number of positions
- 16.4
Based on 13F long-equity holdings only (cash, bonds, shorts not disclosed)
Turnover Q2 2026: 0.12% Est. buys $61,279,075 · sells $1,053,802
Median holding: 7.0 quarters Tracked Q4 2024–Q2 2026 · 86.2% still held
- New positions
- 10
- Increased
- 34
- Decreased
- 15
- Closed
- 2
On this page
- Sector breakdown How the portfolio splits across market sectors.
- Portfolio Every stock this institution reports holding, from its latest 13F.
- High-conviction bets The holdings this manager is most concentrated in.
- Biggest new bets Brand-new positions opened in the latest quarter.
- Top moves The biggest position increases and decreases this quarter.
- Exited positions Positions the manager fully sold out of last quarter.
Sector breakdown
Technology
0.4%
Industrials
0.2%
Real Estate
0.1%
Communication Services
0.1%
Financials
0.1%
Retail
0.1%
Financial Services
0.0%
Healthcare
0.0%
Consumer Discretionary
0.0%
Other/Unmapped
99.0%
Full portfolio 75 positions
| Type | Streak | 8Q trend | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSLC | $117,345,447 | 12.55% | 827,017 | $18,683,822 | Up ×1 | ||
| MTUM | $110,399,271 | 11.81% | 322,023 | $34,965,239 | Up ×1 | ||
| DUHP | $67,168,827 | 7.18% | 1,609,605 | $11,403,549 | Up ×1 | ||
| DYNF | $59,949,737 | 6.41% | 881,484 | $11,544,591 | Up ×6 | ||
| NYF | $51,540,911 | 5.51% | 956,143 | $10,362,106 | Up ×2 | ||
| GSIE | $48,610,321 | 5.20% | 1,063,683 | $5,924,905 | Up ×4 | ||
| DIHP | $44,621,937 | 4.77% | 1,307,603 | $5,232,306 | Up ×4 | ||
| SCHO | $42,459,076 | 4.54% | 1,758,868 | $1,616,040 | Up ×6 | ||
| USMV | $40,240,100 | 4.30% | 417,169 | $3,732,303 | Up ×6 | ||
| SCHR | $38,823,428 | 4.15% | 1,574,348 | $7,122,342 | Up ×6 | ||
| AVUV | $36,874,684 | 3.94% | 295,565 | $5,910,665 | Up ×1 | ||
| FVAL | $34,576,803 | 3.70% | 443,665 | $5,101,712 | Up ×1 | ||
| SPIB | $31,422,277 | 3.36% | 939,100 | $1,541,894 | Up ×6 | ||
| AVEM | $27,966,728 | 2.99% | 289,841 | $5,781,612 | Up ×1 | ||
| FQAL | $27,805,033 | 2.97% | 341,750 | $4,085,166 | Up ×6 | ||
| SHYG | $24,113,817 | 2.58% | 568,588 | $1,545,353 | Up ×6 | ||
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value ETF | $20,853,970 | 2.23% | 189,323 | $2,625,803 | Up ×6 | ||
| IVLU | $15,928,492 | 1.70% | 380,882 | $1,548,489 | Up ×1 | ||
| GSSC | $15,443,810 | 1.65% | 169,229 | $3,493,992 | Up ×6 | ||
| FNDC | $14,861,008 | 1.59% | 306,034 | $1,425,919 | Up ×4 | ||
| SPTL | $11,918,546 | 1.27% | 454,386 | $1,305,316 | Up ×2 | ||
| SPY SPY | $9,501,804 | 1.02% | 12,724 | $1,226,963 | |||
| SPYM | $5,161,916 | 0.55% | 58,738 | $926,467 | Up ×3 | ||
| VTEB | $4,849,500 | 0.52% | 95,878 | $1,244,895 | Up ×1 | ||
| IWV | $2,208,783 | 0.24% | 5,180 | $288,633 | |||
| REZ | $2,187,510 | 0.23% | 23,102 | $267,940 | Up ×1 | ||
| IXUS iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF | $1,976,469 | 0.21% | 20,709 | $287,210 | Up ×1 | ||
| IVV | $1,813,796 | 0.19% | 2,422 | $252,624 | Up ×1 | ||
| IWD | $1,508,158 | 0.16% | 6,221 | $178,916 | |||
| AAPL Apple Inc. - Common Stock | $1,402,721 | 0.15% | 4,848 | $177,240 | Up ×1 | ||
| DFAC | $1,307,459 | 0.14% | 29,474 | $109,469 | Down ×1 | ||
| SPMD | $1,233,030 | 0.13% | 18,251 | $210,494 | Up ×3 | ||
| ACWX iShares MSCI ACWI ex U.S. ETF | $1,210,727 | 0.13% | 15,908 | $117,699 | Down ×1 | ||
| SCHB | $1,081,792 | 0.12% | 37,355 | $162,544 | Up ×1 | ||
| IWM | $983,974 | 0.11% | 3,275 | $171,774 | |||
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. Common Stock | $971,780 | 0.10% | 47,014 | $22,671 | Down ×6 | ||
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation - Common Stock | $770,928 | 0.08% | 2,067 | $-81,574 | Down ×1 | ||
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. - Class A Common Stock | $766,559 | 0.08% | 2,145 | $126,450 | Down ×1 | ||
| IJR | $732,213 | 0.08% | 4,937 | $113,641 | Down ×2 | ||
| TT Trane Technologies plc | $667,978 | 0.07% | 1,360 | $84,958 | Down ×1 | ||
| VEA | $661,659 | 0.07% | 9,286 | $66,584 | |||
| DFAT | $606,201 | 0.06% | 8,672 | $64,610 | |||
| OEF | $589,051 | 0.06% | 1,610 | $76,958 | |||
| ETN Eaton Corporation, PLC Ordinary Shares | $522,424 | 0.06% | 1,226 | $43,861 | Down ×1 | ||
| ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF | $510,582 | 0.05% | 3,253 | $60,501 | |||
| GVI | $508,939 | 0.05% | 4,797 | $-2,806 | |||
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. - Common Stock | $498,654 | 0.05% | 432 | Up ×1 | |||
| GBIL | $472,051 | 0.05% | 4,713 | $1,874 | Up ×1 | ||
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF | $458,337 | 0.05% | 3,902 | $-1,633 | Up ×1 | ||
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock | $427,193 | 0.05% | 2,135 | $141,351 | Up ×1 | ||
| SPSM | $402,344 | 0.04% | 6,977 | $80,458 | Up ×1 | ||
| SUSA | $398,933 | 0.04% | 2,585 | $58,033 | Up ×3 | ||
| DFUV | $365,574 | 0.04% | 6,646 | $43,529 | |||
| HIG The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. Common Stock | $364,430 | 0.04% | 2,750 | $-7,453 | |||
| HD Home Depot, Inc. (The) Common Stock | $344,168 | 0.04% | 976 | $12,362 | Down ×1 | ||
| SCHA | $319,390 | 0.03% | 8,840 | $62,322 | |||
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. | $317,107 | 0.03% | 664 | $-51,597 | Down ×1 | ||
| IJH | $295,409 | 0.03% | 3,831 | $36,701 | |||
| V Visa Inc. | $284,079 | 0.03% | 828 | $23,850 | Down ×1 | ||
| JPM JP Morgan Chase & Co. Common Stock | $269,720 | 0.03% | 824 | $4,976 | Down ×1 | ||
| COHR Coherent Corp. Common Stock | $266,268 | 0.03% | 675 | Up ×1 | |||
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. - Common Stock | $261,221 | 0.03% | 1,096 | $32,957 | |||
| CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd - Ordinary Shares | $243,396 | 0.03% | 895 | Up ×1 | |||
| ABBV AbbVie Inc. Common Stock | $240,065 | 0.03% | 954 | $24,967 | Down ×1 | ||
| VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | $217,239 | 0.02% | 2,541 | ||||
| ASML ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares | $214,860 | 0.02% | 108 | Up ×1 | |||
| SUB | $209,833 | 0.02% | 1,971 | $-59 | |||
| AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. - Common Stock | $208,947 | 0.02% | 289 | Up ×1 | |||
| HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. Common Stock | $208,905 | 0.02% | 777 | Up ×1 | |||
| BRKB | $206,161 | 0.02% | 412 | ||||
| DFUS | $204,900 | 0.02% | 2,501 | $-120 | Down ×1 | ||
| DFSU | $201,674 | 0.02% | 4,325 | Up ×1 | |||
| IWN | $200,186 | 0.02% | 905 | Up ×1 | |||
| NIO NIO Inc. American depositary shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share | $167,967 | 0.02% | 33,195 | $-55,216 | Down ×2 | ||
| KODK Eastman Kodak Company Common New | $103,230 | 0.01% | 11,160 | $2,232 | |||
| No matches | |||||||
Conviction holdings
Positions increased for 3+ consecutive quarters.
Share counts are as reported in 13F filings (not split-adjusted)
| Security | Value | % of portfolio | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|
| DYNF | $59,949,737 | 6.41% | up ×6 |
| GSIE | $48,610,321 | 5.20% | up ×4 |
| DIHP | $44,621,937 | 4.77% | up ×4 |
| SCHO | $42,459,076 | 4.54% | up ×6 |
| USMV | $40,240,100 | 4.30% | up ×6 |
| SCHR | $38,823,428 | 4.15% | up ×6 |
| SPIB | $31,422,277 | 3.36% | up ×6 |
| FQAL | $27,805,033 | 2.97% | up ×6 |
| SHYG | $24,113,817 | 2.58% | up ×6 |
| IUSV | $20,853,970 | 2.23% | up ×6 |
| GSSC | $15,443,810 | 1.65% | up ×6 |
| FNDC | $14,861,008 | 1.59% | up ×4 |
| SPYM | $5,161,916 | 0.55% | up ×3 |
| SPMD | $1,233,030 | 0.13% | up ×3 |
| SUSA | $398,933 | 0.04% | up ×3 |
Biggest new bets
New positions opened this quarter, largest first.
Top movers (QoQ)
| Security | Action | Shares Δ | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTUM | Bought more | +8K | +$35.0M |
| GSLC | Bought more | +39K | +$18.7M |
| DYNF | Bought more | +49K | +$11.5M |
| DUHP | Bought more | +93K | +$11.4M |
| NYF | Bought more | +181K | +$10.4M |
| SCHR | Bought more | +302K | +$7.1M |
| GSIE | Bought more | +74K | +$5.9M |
| AVUV | Bought more | +15K | +$5.9M |
| AVEM | Bought more | +15K | +$5.8M |
| DIHP | Bought more | +85K | +$5.2M |
Exited positions
Includes corporate events (mergers, delistings) — not all exits are sells
Closed positions reflect 13F reporting changes; for index managers these are often mechanical (delisting, M&A, index rebalancing), not active decisions.
| Security | Quarter | Shares before | Value before | Price since exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGLT | March 31, 2026 | 38,415 | $2,143,535 | |
| VGIT | March 31, 2026 | 16,890 | $1,012,218 | |
| AVB | March 31, 2026 | 3,318 | $601,587 | No longer tracked |
| TSLA | Dec. 31, 2025 | 847 | $376,678 | -24.8% |
| MAA | March 31, 2026 | 2,318 | $322,014 | 7.6% |
| BND | March 31, 2026 | 4,172 | $309,021 | |
| IRT | March 31, 2026 | 16,645 | $290,953 | 11.5% |
| NVDA | Dec. 31, 2025 | 1,460 | $272,407 | 17.2% |
| IDEV | March 31, 2026 | 3,240 | $267,236 | No longer tracked |
| GOOGL | March 31, 2025 | 1,381 | $261,424 | 121.1% |
| UNH | June 30, 2025 | 481 | $251,924 | 26.6% |
| IAU | June 30, 2026 | 2,705 | $238,473 | No longer tracked |
| SPGI | March 31, 2026 | 419 | $218,966 | 0.4% |
| VXUS | March 31, 2026 | 2,698 | $203,515 | |
| BRKB | March 31, 2026 | 402 | $202,066 | No longer tracked |
| TNGY | June 30, 2026 | 14,145 | $147,533 | 15.0% |