High Probability Advisors, LLC

CIK 2039415 · View on SEC EDGAR ↗

Portfolio value QoQ: +19.7% 13F does not disclose cash

Top 10 holdings weight66.43%

Top 25 holdings weight96.75%

Positions above 1%22

Effective number of positions16.4

Based on 13F long-equity holdings only (cash, bonds, shorts not disclosed)

Turnover Q2 2026: 0.12% Est. buys $61,279,075 · sells $1,053,802

Median holding: 6.0 quarters Tracked Q1 2025–Q2 2026 · 86.2% still held

New positions10

Increased34

Decreased15

Closed2

Portfolio value $935.0M #2,629 of 9,337 by 13F value · top 28.2%

Positions 75

As of June 30, 2026 Data as of Q2 2026

Sector breakdown

Technology 0.4%

Industrials 0.2%

Real Estate 0.1%

Communication Services 0.1%

Financials 0.1%

Retail 0.1%

Healthcare 0.0%

Consumer Discretionary 0.0%

Other/Unmapped 99.0%

Full portfolio 75 positions

					Streak
GSLC Goldman Sachs ETF Trust	$117,345,447	12.55%	827,017	$18,683,822	Up ×1
MTUM iShares Trust	$110,399,271	11.81%	322,023	$34,965,239	Up ×1
DUHP Dimensional ETF Trust	$67,168,827	7.18%	1,609,605	$11,403,549	Up ×1
DYNF BlackRock ETF Trust	$59,949,737	6.41%	881,484	$11,544,591	Up ×6
NYF iShares Trust	$51,540,911	5.51%	956,143	$10,362,106	Up ×2
GSIE Goldman Sachs ETF Trust	$48,610,321	5.20%	1,063,683	$5,924,905	Up ×4
DIHP Dimensional ETF Trust	$44,621,937	4.77%	1,307,603	$5,232,306	Up ×4
SCHO SCHWAB STRATEGIC TRUST	$42,459,076	4.54%	1,758,868	$1,616,040	Up ×6
USMV iShares Trust	$40,240,100	4.30%	417,169	$3,732,303	Up ×6
SCHR SCHWAB STRATEGIC TRUST	$38,823,428	4.15%	1,574,348	$7,122,342	Up ×6
AVUV AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST	$36,874,684	3.94%	295,565	$5,910,665	Up ×1
FVAL FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST	$34,576,803	3.70%	443,665	$5,101,712	Up ×1
SPIB SPDR SERIES TRUST	$31,422,277	3.36%	939,100	$1,541,894	Up ×6
AVEM AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST	$27,966,728	2.99%	289,841	$5,781,612	Up ×1
FQAL FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST	$27,805,033	2.97%	341,750	$4,085,166	Up ×6
SHYG iShares Trust	$24,113,817	2.58%	568,588	$1,545,353	Up ×6
IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value ETF	$20,853,970	2.23%	189,323	$2,625,803	Up ×6
IVLU iShares Trust	$15,928,492	1.70%	380,882	$1,548,489	Up ×1
GSSC Goldman Sachs ETF Trust	$15,443,810	1.65%	169,229	$3,493,992	Up ×6
FNDC SCHWAB STRATEGIC TRUST	$14,861,008	1.59%	306,034	$1,425,919	Up ×4
SPTL SPDR SERIES TRUST	$11,918,546	1.27%	454,386	$1,305,316	Up ×2
SPY SPY	$9,501,804	1.02%	12,724	$1,226,963
SPYM State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF	$5,161,916	0.55%	58,738	$926,467	Up ×3
VTEB VANGUARD MUNICIPAL BOND FUNDS	$4,849,500	0.52%	95,878	$1,244,895	Up ×1
IWV iShares Trust	$2,208,783	0.24%	5,180	$288,633
REZ iShares Trust	$2,187,510	0.23%	23,102	$267,940	Up ×1
IXUS iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF	$1,976,469	0.21%	20,709	$287,210	Up ×1
IVV iShares Trust	$1,813,796	0.19%	2,422	$252,624	Up ×1
IWD iShares Trust	$1,508,158	0.16%	6,221	$178,916
AAPL Apple Inc. - Common Stock	$1,402,721	0.15%	4,848	$177,240	Up ×1
DFAC Dimensional ETF Trust	$1,307,459	0.14%	29,474	$109,469	Down ×1
SPMD SPDR SERIES TRUST	$1,233,030	0.13%	18,251	$210,494	Up ×3
ACWX iShares MSCI ACWI ex U.S. ETF	$1,210,727	0.13%	15,908	$117,699	Down ×1
SCHB SCHWAB STRATEGIC TRUST	$1,081,792	0.12%	37,355	$162,544	Up ×1
IWM iShares Trust	$983,974	0.11%	3,275	$171,774
BNL Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. Common Stock	$971,780	0.10%	47,014	$22,671	Down ×6
MSFT Microsoft Corporation - Common Stock	$770,928	0.08%	2,067	$-81,574	Down ×1
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. - Class A Common Stock	$766,559	0.08%	2,145	$126,450	Down ×1
IJR iShares Trust	$732,213	0.08%	4,937	$113,641	Down ×2
TT Trane Technologies plc	$667,978	0.07%	1,360	$84,958	Down ×1
VEA VANGUARD TAX-MANAGED FUNDS	$661,659	0.07%	9,286	$66,584
DFAT Dimensional ETF Trust	$606,201	0.06%	8,672	$64,610
OEF iShares Trust	$589,051	0.06%	1,610	$76,958
ETN Eaton Corporation, PLC Ordinary Shares	$522,424	0.06%	1,226	$43,861	Down ×1
ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF	$510,582	0.05%	3,253	$60,501
GVI iShares Trust	$508,939	0.05%	4,797	$-2,806
MU Micron Technology, Inc. - Common Stock	$498,654	0.05%	432		Up ×1
GBIL Goldman Sachs ETF Trust	$472,051	0.05%	4,713	$1,874	Up ×1
IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF	$458,337	0.05%	3,902	$-1,633	Up ×1
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock	$427,193	0.05%	2,135	$141,351	Up ×1
SPSM SPDR SERIES TRUST	$402,344	0.04%	6,977	$80,458	Up ×1
SUSA iShares Trust	$398,933	0.04%	2,585	$58,033	Up ×3
DFUV Dimensional ETF Trust	$365,574	0.04%	6,646	$43,529
HIG The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. Common Stock	$364,430	0.04%	2,750	$-7,453
HD Home Depot, Inc. (The) Common Stock	$344,168	0.04%	976	$12,362	Down ×1
SCHA SCHWAB STRATEGIC TRUST	$319,390	0.03%	8,840	$62,322
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.	$317,107	0.03%	664	$-51,597	Down ×1
IJH iShares Trust	$295,409	0.03%	3,831	$36,701
V Visa Inc.	$284,079	0.03%	828	$23,850	Down ×1
JPM JP Morgan Chase & Co. Common Stock	$269,720	0.03%	824	$4,976	Down ×1
COHR Coherent Corp. Common Stock	$266,268	0.03%	675		Up ×1
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. - Common Stock	$261,221	0.03%	1,096	$32,957
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd - Ordinary Shares	$243,396	0.03%	895		Up ×1
ABBV AbbVie Inc. Common Stock	$240,065	0.03%	954	$24,967	Down ×1
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF	$217,239	0.02%	2,541
ASML ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares	$214,860	0.02%	108		Up ×1
SUB iShares Trust	$209,833	0.02%	1,971	$-59
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. - Common Stock	$208,947	0.02%	289		Up ×1
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. Common Stock	$208,905	0.02%	777		Up ×1
BRK-B (filed as BRKB) Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B	$206,161	0.02%	412
DFUS Dimensional ETF Trust	$204,900	0.02%	2,501	$-120	Down ×1
DFSU Dimensional ETF Trust	$201,674	0.02%	4,325		Up ×1
IWN iShares Trust	$200,186	0.02%	905		Up ×1
NIO NIO Inc. American depositary shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share	$167,967	0.02%	33,195	$-55,216	Down ×2
KODK Eastman Kodak Company Common New	$103,230	0.01%	11,160	$2,232
No matches

Conviction holdings

Positions increased for 3+ consecutive quarters.

Share counts are as reported in 13F filings (not split-adjusted)

Security	Value	% of portfolio	Streak
DYNF	$59,949,737	6.41%	up ×6
GSIE	$48,610,321	5.20%	up ×4
DIHP	$44,621,937	4.77%	up ×4
SCHO	$42,459,076	4.54%	up ×6
USMV	$40,240,100	4.30%	up ×6
SCHR	$38,823,428	4.15%	up ×6
SPIB	$31,422,277	3.36%	up ×6
FQAL	$27,805,033	2.97%	up ×6
SHYG	$24,113,817	2.58%	up ×6
IUSV	$20,853,970	2.23%	up ×6
GSSC	$15,443,810	1.65%	up ×6
FNDC	$14,861,008	1.59%	up ×4
SPYM	$5,161,916	0.55%	up ×3
SPMD	$1,233,030	0.13%	up ×3
SUSA	$398,933	0.04%	up ×3

Biggest new bets

New positions opened this quarter, largest first.

Security	Value	Shares	% of portfolio
MU	$498,654	432	0.05%
COHR	$266,268	675	0.03%
CRDO	$243,396	895	0.03%
VXUS	$217,239	2,541	0.02%
ASML	$214,860	108	0.02%
AMAT	$208,947	289	0.02%
HWM	$208,905	777	0.02%
BRK-B (filed as BRKB)	$206,161	412	0.02%
DFSU	$201,674	4,325	0.02%
IWN	$200,186	905	0.02%

Top movers (QoQ)

Security	Action	Shares Δ	Value Δ
MTUM	Bought more	+8K	+$35.0M
GSLC	Bought more	+39K	+$18.7M
DYNF	Bought more	+49K	+$11.5M
DUHP	Bought more	+93K	+$11.4M
NYF	Bought more	+181K	+$10.4M
SCHR	Bought more	+302K	+$7.1M
GSIE	Bought more	+74K	+$5.9M
AVUV	Bought more	+15K	+$5.9M
AVEM	Bought more	+15K	+$5.8M
DIHP	Bought more	+85K	+$5.2M

Exited positions

Includes corporate events (mergers, delistings) — not all exits are sells

Closed positions reflect 13F reporting changes; for index managers these are often mechanical (delisting, M&A, index rebalancing), not active decisions.

Security	Quarter	Shares before	Value before	Price since exit
VGLT	March 31, 2026	38,415	$2,143,535
VGIT	March 31, 2026	16,890	$1,012,218
AVB	March 31, 2026	3,318	$601,587	No longer tracked
TSLA	Dec. 31, 2025	847	$376,678	-17.6%
MAA	March 31, 2026	2,318	$322,014	-5.6%
BND	March 31, 2026	4,172	$309,021
IRT	March 31, 2026	16,645	$290,953	-2.6%
NVDA	Dec. 31, 2025	1,460	$272,407	25.4%
IDEV	March 31, 2026	3,240	$267,236
UNH	June 30, 2025	481	$251,924	19.2%
IAU	June 30, 2026	2,705	$238,473	3.2%
SPGI	March 31, 2026	419	$218,966	-9.2%
VXUS	March 31, 2026	2,698	$203,515
BRK-B (filed as BRKB)	March 31, 2026	402	$202,066	No longer tracked
TNGY	June 30, 2026	14,145	$147,533	14.8%